Collboni would win Barcelona elections according to municipal poll

Barcelona's municipal poll shows Jaume Collboni's PSC leading a hypothetical election with 12.1% of votes, followed by ERC and the Comuns. Aliança Catalana would surpass Junts as the fourth force, amid 43% undecided voters. Housing remains the top concern for Barcelonans.

The Barcelona City Council's municipal poll, conducted from November 17 to 30, 2025, reveals a fragmented political landscape ahead of potential 2027 elections. If held today, the PSC would secure 12.1% of direct voting intention, enough to win but without assurances of forming a government due to pact difficulties. ERC would climb to 7.8%, becoming the second force, while the Comuns drop to 6.9%, losing nearly 42% of their 2023 support.

Aliança Catalana, the far-right independentist party led by Sílvia Orriols, would debut with 3.9%, overtaking a declining Junts at just 3.4%, its worst historical result. The PP holds at 2.4%, the CUP at 2.3%, and Vox at 2.1%. 43.2% of respondents are undecided, the highest recorded rate, with 12.5% opting for abstention.

Deputy Mayor Laia Bonet voiced concerns: “No one can deny that this rise in votes for Aliança follows trends in other administrations, and the far right is not new in the city, as we already have two Vox councilors, but we are very worried that hate speech could gain ground in Barcelona”.

Junts leader Jordi Martí dismissed the poll as “biased” and highlighted Collboni's “absolute failure”. PP's Daniel Sirera accused the mayor of being “unable to manage the city”, and Vox's Gonzalo de Oro stressed rising insecurity as a key issue.

In ratings, Collboni scores 5.2, his best since 2019, tying with Elisenda Alamany (ERC) and Jordi Martí (Junts). Housing worries 32.8% (up 3%), followed by insecurity at 25.2%. Strong support exists for policies like harsher civic sanctions (90%) or extending the Tramvia along Diagonal (70%).

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