Dollar tops $900 and Ipsa falls on first trading day of 2026

On the first trading day of 2026, the Chilean dollar rose to $906, breaking the $900 support, while the Ipsa index fell 0.51% to 10,427.75 points. This marks the second consecutive decline for the benchmark after its recent all-time high. Local markets responded to moderate economic data and copper at record highs.

The Santiago Stock Exchange opened 2026 with volatility. The Ipsa, the main stock index, fell 0.51% to close at 10,427.75 points, representing a cumulative drop of 1.31% over two sessions after hitting an all-time high of 10,521.68 points on December 31, 2025. Analysts attributed the move to a moderate correction, where declines in heavyweights like SQM-B, down 2.64%, outweighed gains in defensive names.

"It was a session of moderate correction and selective market, where declines in the heaviest stocks ended up prevailing over advances, despite several defensive names showing better tone," commented Gonzalo Muñoz, markets analyst at XTB Latam.

In the foreign exchange market, the dollar rose $6.85 from the previous close, trading at $906 per unit at the edition's close. During the session, it hit a high of $907.25 and a low of $896.60. "A session that starts with little directional momentum and marked mainly by technical factors. The exchange rate continues to move within a narrow range, with the $900 zone as a relevant psychological level," explained Felipe Cáceres from Capitaria.

The local context included the release of November's Imacec, showing 1.2% year-over-year growth, indicating economic moderation. "This result points to a moderation in economic dynamism toward year-end, reinforcing a scenario of contained growth," said Emanoelle Santos from XTB Latam.

Globally, copper rose 0.54% to $5.7 per pound, reaching record highs despite dollar strength. In Wall Street, indices closed mixed: Dow Jones +0.66%, S&P 500 +0.19%, and Nasdaq -0.03%, boosted by tech but weighed down by Tesla (-2.59%).

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Traders celebrate market gains on the Santiago Stock Exchange floor following Chile's presidential elections, with screens showing record IPSA highs and optimistic atmosphere.
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Chilean markets react positively after presidential elections

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Chilean markets started the week with significant gains following Sunday's elections, where Jeannette Jara received 26.85% and José Antonio Kast 23.92% of the votes, advancing to the runoff. The IPSA hit a new all-time high of 9,904.44 points, while country risk fell and the dollar depreciated. Analysts attribute the optimism to expectations of a more market-friendly government.

Despite José Antonio Kast's victory in the presidential runoff with a 16-point lead, the Ipsa fell 0.94% to 10,302.23 points, due to profit-taking. The dollar rose $6.65 to $913.40, though the market expects future stock gains and peso appreciation. Experts note the outcome was already priced in by investors.

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The US Department of Justice opened a criminal investigation against Jerome Powell, chair of the Federal Reserve, raising fears over the central bank's independence and shaking global markets. The dollar fell to lows as gold hit a new all-time high. In Chile, the Ipsa reached a record driven by copper.

Continuing its strong revaluation trend earlier in January—where it led emerging currencies with gains over 4% through January 22—the Colombian peso depreciated 1.36% on January 28, 2026, diverging from appreciating regional peers like the Brazilian real and Mexican peso. Despite the daily drop, it holds a 3.5% monthly gain amid global volatility and commodity rebounds.

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Building on its strong start to 2026, copper prices hit new highs on January 6, surpassing US$6 per pound on New York Comex and US$13,000 per ton on London Metal Exchange amid supply tightness and robust demand. Chile benefits fiscally, but experts caution on volatility.

The Mexican peso has accumulated a 13.9% appreciation in 2025, its best performance since 1994, driven by dollar weakness and solid local factors. Despite a moderate depreciation on December 29, the exchange rate remains stable amid low trading volume due to year-end holidays. Analysts forecast volatility in 2026 from monetary policies and trade reviews.

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Building on its 3.8% gain in the first 14 days of January, the Colombian peso has appreciated further by 4.5% over the first 22 days, maintaining its top position among emerging currencies. New international factors like Donald Trump's Greenland comments and a national pension decree bolster the trend, with the Chilean peso (3.8%) and Russian ruble (3.79%) trailing.

 

 

 

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