Pompliano predicts bitcoin rebound amid deflationary shift

Anthony Pompliano, chairman of ProCap Financial, forecasts a strong recovery for bitcoin as the Federal Reserve prints money to combat deflation. He describes this as a 'monetary slingshot' that will devalue the currency and boost bitcoin's value in the long term. Despite recent price drops, Pompliano urges investors to hold firm through the current economic pressures.

Anthony Pompliano shared his outlook on bitcoin during an appearance on FOX Business, emphasizing its resilience against shifting economic conditions. Bitcoin has declined 50% from its all-time high of $126,000 to around $70,000, as deflation has overtaken inflation as the main concern. This drop tests the commitment of long-term holders, according to Pompliano.

He explained that deflation masks the effects of currency debasement, but once the economy moves past it, the benefits for bitcoin will emerge. 'We’re going to print a bunch of money to try to deal with deflation. And all of a sudden, as we come out of that thing, now we’re going to see that the currency has been devalued and Bitcoin becomes more valuable than ever,' Pompliano stated. He added, 'If they print money, Bitcoin is going higher over the long run.'

The current deflationary environment stems from falling prices in key areas, including rent, which has decreased for 32 consecutive months, along with trends in food and gas. Broader forces like tariffs, artificial intelligence, and robotics are accelerating this pressure by displacing jobs and lowering costs.

Earlier, in summer 2025, bitcoin rallied amid fears of tariff-driven inflation, but it cooled as deflation became the dominant narrative. Google searches for currency debasement surged last month, driving interest in gold and silver, though bitcoin did not join the upswing. Pompliano noted, 'People were talking about, is inflation coming because of the tariffs? As soon as all of a sudden we realized it’s not coming. Well, do you need to put a ton of your money into Bitcoin if deflation is the bigger risk?'

Gold has led gains through central bank purchases, while foreign central banks are shifting from fiat currencies but not yet ready to invest in bitcoin. Pompliano stressed bitcoin's core appeal as a finite supply asset, asking, 'Can you hold an asset when there is not high inflation in your face on a day to day basis?' He encouraged investors: those who valued bitcoin at $126,000 should appreciate it even more at $70,000.

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Illustration of Bitcoin's wild price swings to $94K then $92K on trading screens amid Fed rate cut news, traders reacting intensely.
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Bitcoin volatile after Federal Reserve's rate cut announcement

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Bitcoin prices swung wildly on December 10, 2025, spiking above $94,000 before retreating to around $92,000 following the Federal Reserve's 25 basis-point rate cut. Chair Jerome Powell highlighted risks in the labor market while cautioning on inflation, contributing to market uncertainty. The broader crypto market added $150 billion in value amid institutional adoption news and short liquidations.

Despite cooling U.S. inflation and anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts, Bitcoin's price has remained stuck in a narrow range around the $80,000s. Traders are focusing more on real yields, liquidity conditions, and ETF flows rather than headline economic data. This shift highlights how structural factors are now dominating the cryptocurrency's price action.

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Precious metals experienced a dramatic plunge on Friday, with silver dropping 35% and gold falling 12% from recent highs. Bitcoin remained relatively stable around $83,000 amid the volatility. The sell-off appears linked to President Trump's nomination of Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve chair.

Bitcoin has entered a bear market, dropping over 30% from its early October peak of around $126,000, following a flash crash triggered by President Trump's renewed trade war with China. The cryptocurrency wiped out $1 trillion in value over six weeks, with a single-day loss of $19 billion on October 10 due to panic selling and liquidations. While recovering slightly to about $88,000 on Monday, concerns over Federal Reserve rate decisions and leveraged positions continue to unsettle investors.

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Bitcoin fell sharply to a 15-month low of around $63,000-$67,000 on February 5, 2026, extending a year-to-date decline of 23% that erased early 2026 gains, including a January drop to $87,500. The sell-off has wiped over $2 trillion from the global crypto market since October 2025 peaks, despite pro-crypto policies from President Trump. Analysts attribute the plunge primarily to Trump's nomination of hawkish former Fed governor Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve chair, alongside ETF outflows and weakening stock markets.

Bitcoin dropped below $108,000 on October 30, 2025, as the cryptocurrency market shed over $80 billion following the Federal Reserve's 25 basis point interest rate cut. Traders reacted with a 'sell the news' move amid hawkish comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaling no further cuts in December. The decline marks a disappointing end to 'Uptober,' with bitcoin on track for its worst monthly performance since 2014.

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Bitcoin has underperformed gold throughout 2025, with its value in ounces dropping 45% from a January peak despite dollar volatility. This persistent decline highlights challenges to its role as a store of value. The ratio has fallen for 46 consecutive weeks, even amid recent price recoveries.

 

 

 

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