Argentina faces over US$10 billion in foreign lawsuits despite YPF victory

Following the U.S. appeals court's recent annulment of a $16 billion YPF expropriation ruling, Argentina gains partial relief from international litigation pressures. However, claims exceeding US$10 billion persist in cases involving debt, GDP-linked bonds, holdouts, Aerolíneas Argentinas, and related matters, amid reported government infighting.

Argentina's favorable outcome in the YPF expropriation case, where a New York appeals court overturned a prior $16.1 billion condemnation on March 27, offers temporary respite for public finances, as covered in prior reports. Nonetheless, the nation confronts more than US$10 billion in outstanding lawsuits abroad, encompassing sovereign debt disputes, GDP-linked coupons, holdout bondholders, Aerolíneas Argentinas liabilities, and lingering YPF-related claims.

This development unfolds against internal political friction, including disputes over key government positions between factions led by Presidential Chief of Staff Karina Milei and advisor Santiago Caputo, alongside shifts at the Ministry of Justice and scrutiny of judicial appointments.

Reports highlight that while the YPF ruling eases one front, the broader litigation landscape continues to challenge Argentina's fiscal stability.

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Illustration depicting New York appeals court overturning $16B YPF expropriation ruling, with President Milei celebrating Argentina's victory.
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New York appeals court annuls YPF expropriation ruling against Argentina

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The U.S. Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit in New York overturned on Friday the first-instance ruling ordering Argentina to pay over $16 billion for the 2012 YPF expropriation. President Javier Milei hailed the decision as a historic victory and criticized former Kirchnerist officials. The ruling averts a massive payout, though Burford Capital said it will appeal.

Argentine assets came under pressure on Friday, May 15, as country risk rose 2.5 percent to 538 basis points. The S&P Merval fell 1.4 percent in pesos and most ADRs closed in the red.

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Argentine ADRs closed mostly higher on Monday in New York, while the S&P Merval index rose 4%. Oil prices topped US$110 per barrel amid rising tensions in the Persian Gulf, following Friday's declines.

Argentina's Federal Chamber of Casación Penal has set a March 30 hearing to settle a jurisdiction dispute over the probe into AFA's purchase of a luxury mansion in Pilar, amid money laundering allegations tied to football officials including treasurer Pablo Toviggino. This follows AFA's recent address change to Pilar and prior revelations of suspicious payments linked to the property.

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After the Constitutional Court struck down the December 2025 emergency economic decree, the Colombian government will present a tax reform to raise $16 trillion. Finance Minister Germán Ávila and President Gustavo Petro confirmed the plan in response to the fiscal imbalance. The measure aims to avoid cuts to social spending and address inherited deficits.

Argentina's country risk index closed at 524 basis points on Wednesday, May 20, after falling from an opening of 547 points. Sovereign bonds and Argentine ADRs rose on Wall Street.

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Cuba's Deputy Foreign Minister Carlos Fernandez de Cossio proposed this week a lump-sum settlement mechanism for certified claims on properties nationalized after the Cuban Revolution. Drawing on international precedents, the approach aims to resolve the hemisphere's oldest dispute and potentially end the US embargo. Experts like Richard Feinberg have outlined feasible compensation plans.

 

 

 

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