Cathie Wood melihat siklus empat tahun Bitcoin memudar

CEO Ark Invest Cathie Wood berpendapat bahwa siklus empat tahun tradisional Bitcoin sedang runtuh karena keterlibatan institusional yang semakin meningkat. Ia menyoroti bagaimana adopsi ini mengubah volatilitas pasar dan tingkat penurunan potensial di masa depan. Wood menyampaikan pandangan ini selama wawancara di Fox Business.

Cathie Wood, CEO Ark Invest, menyarankan bahwa mata uang kripto Bitcoin sedang mengalami perubahan signifikan dalam dinamika pasarnya. Dalam penampilan terbaru di Fox Business, ia menyatakan bahwa siklus empat tahun yang mapan dari aset tersebut, yang secara historis memengaruhi pola harga terkait peristiwa halving, mungkin tidak lagi menentukan lintasan jangka panjangnya.

Wood menghubungkan perubahan ini terutama dengan adopsi institusional yang meningkat. Ia menjelaskan bahwa seiring masuknya lebih banyak institusi ke pasar Bitcoin, mereka menstabilkan aset tersebut dengan cara yang berbeda dari perilaku ritel masa lalu. Keterlibatan ini, menurut Wood, mengurangi volatilitas secara keseluruhan dibandingkan siklus sebelumnya.

Lebih lanjut, ia menunjukkan bahwa partisipasi institusional dapat membatasi kedalaman penurunan masa depan, atau penurunan harga, membuat pasar lebih tangguh. Meskipun Bitcoin pernah mengalami koreksi tajam di masa lalu, perspektif Wood menunjukkan ekosistem yang matang di mana investor profesional memainkan peran lebih besar dalam menstabilkan fluktuasi.

Komentar ini muncul di tengah diskusi berkelanjutan tentang evolusi Bitcoin, dengan Wood menekankan dampak transformatif dari uang institusional. Wawasannya mencerminkan tren yang lebih luas dalam kripto saat ia mendapatkan legitimasi di kalangan pelaku keuangan tradisional.

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Illustration depicting Bitcoin's price rebound to $70,000 after volatility, with mixed trader reactions on a crypto trading floor.
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Bitcoin ends volatile week with modest gains as advocates urge calm

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Bitcoin's price rebounded modestly to around $70,000 on February 8 after a sharp drop to $60,000 earlier in the week, prompting crypto advocates to downplay the volatility as temporary. Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong emphasized long-term bullishness, while skeptics like Peter Schiff celebrated the downturn. Institutional interest persists despite extreme fear in market sentiment.

Cathie Wood's ARK Invest has boosted its holdings in crypto-related companies as prices decline across the sector. On Friday, the firm purchased shares in Coinbase, Circle, and Bullish, signaling continued institutional interest. This move comes alongside announcements from major players like UBS and PwC affirming crypto's growing legitimacy.

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Building on recent debates about crypto's maturing cycles, analysts highlight three major factors—led by institutional adoption—that are expected to drive Bitcoin and cryptocurrency prices throughout 2026, potentially replacing traditional halving-driven patterns.

Coinbase Institutional's latest report outlines structural shifts reshaping the crypto market in 2026, moving away from traditional boom-and-bust cycles toward institutional participation and real-world adoption. Authored by David Duong and Colin Basco, the outlook highlights perpetual futures, prediction markets, and stablecoins as key drivers. These forces are expected to test the market's ability to scale under tighter financial conditions.

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Michael Novogratz, founder and CEO of Galaxy Digital, states that crypto companies will remain linked to bitcoin's price for another three to four years. He highlights how revenue in asset management, staking, and trading directly correlates with digital asset values. Despite this dependence, Novogratz sees potential for diversification through infrastructure like data centers.

Bitcoin has held steady around $93,000, but the cryptocurrency market is preparing for potential volatility. This comes as global leaders at the Davos forum discuss trade war rhetoric, including tariff headlines. A Kraken executive has warned of a bumpy week ahead for crypto investors.

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Endowments and foundations are exploring cryptocurrency investments as they anticipate lower returns from traditional assets. High equity valuations and crowded markets are prompting institutions to diversify into bitcoin and ether ETFs. Speakers at a recent conference highlighted the need to venture further on the risk curve to sustain payout models.

 

 

 

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