Central bank of egypt holds interest rates amid rising inflation outlook

The Central Bank of Egypt kept key interest rates unchanged on Thursday. It expects annual headline inflation to accelerate through the third quarter of 2026 before easing later.

The Monetary Policy Committee held its third meeting of the year and decided to maintain the overnight deposit rate at 19 percent and the overnight lending rate at 20 percent. The main operation rate and the credit and discount rate stayed at 19.5 percent.

Annual headline inflation fell to 14.9 percent in April from 15.2 percent in March, while core inflation declined to 13.8 percent from 14 percent. The bank attributed the monthly slowdown mainly to lower food prices.

The central bank projects real GDP growth of around 5 percent for the 2025/2026 fiscal year after growth eased to 5 percent in the first quarter of 2026. Unemployment stood at 6 percent in that quarter.

Inflation is expected to stay above the 7 percent target range with a 2 percent margin through the end of 2026 and to approach target levels only in the second half of 2027.

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Banco de la República board unanimously holds interest rate at 11.25% in meeting with Finance Minister amid inflation and political tensions.
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Banco de la República unanimously holds interest rate at 11.25%, defying hike expectations amid government tensions

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In its May 1, 2026 board meeting, Banco de la República unanimously kept the benchmark interest rate at 11.25%, surprising analysts expecting a hike to combat accelerating inflation. Finance Minister Germán Ávila participated fully, citing constructive dialogue, while board members justified the decision to maintain stability amid political pressures.

The Central Bank of Egypt’s Monetary Policy Committee is expected to leave key interest rates unchanged at its meeting on Thursday.

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Egypt's Central Bank Monetary Policy Committee is expected to hold interest rates unchanged at its Thursday meeting, following cuts in December 2025 and February 2026. The decision comes amid rising core inflation and geopolitical risks. Experts describe the hold as the most prudent option to maintain stability.

The South African Reserve Bank kept its repo rate unchanged at 6.75% on Thursday, citing the ongoing Iran war and rising oil prices. Governor Lesetja Kganyago said inflation remains on target but could accelerate if the conflict persists. The bank warned of potential rate hikes later this year.

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Commercial International Bank posted consolidated net profit of EGP 17.8 billion for the first quarter of 2026, up 7 percent from a year earlier. Revenue reached EGP 31.2 billion, a 15 percent increase, even as regional tensions and currency moves created challenges.

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