Central bank of egypt holds interest rates amid rising inflation outlook

The Central Bank of Egypt kept key interest rates unchanged on Thursday. It expects annual headline inflation to accelerate through the third quarter of 2026 before easing later.

The Monetary Policy Committee held its third meeting of the year and decided to maintain the overnight deposit rate at 19 percent and the overnight lending rate at 20 percent. The main operation rate and the credit and discount rate stayed at 19.5 percent.

Annual headline inflation fell to 14.9 percent in April from 15.2 percent in March, while core inflation declined to 13.8 percent from 14 percent. The bank attributed the monthly slowdown mainly to lower food prices.

The central bank projects real GDP growth of around 5 percent for the 2025/2026 fiscal year after growth eased to 5 percent in the first quarter of 2026. Unemployment stood at 6 percent in that quarter.

Inflation is expected to stay above the 7 percent target range with a 2 percent margin through the end of 2026 and to approach target levels only in the second half of 2027.

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Illustration of central bank analysts reviewing inflation and exchange rate forecasts.
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Central Bank projects 2.3% inflation for May and dollar at 1,422 in June

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The Central Bank's Market Expectations Survey adjusted its forecasts for inflation and the exchange rate in 2026.

The Central Bank of Egypt’s Monetary Policy Committee is expected to leave key interest rates unchanged at its meeting on Thursday.

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Egypt's annual urban consumer price inflation eased to 14.6% in May 2026 from 14.9% in April, the Central Agency for Public Mobilisation and Statistics said.

The European Central Bank (ECB) has kept its Eurozone deposit rate at 2.0 percent. Despite sharply rising prices and heightened inflation expectations, the ECB refrained from a rate hike. Investors now anticipate moves from June onward.

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The June Monetary Policy Report cut the GDP expansion range for 2026 but improved estimates for the following two years. Officials noted that the adjustments come before the megareform and the US-Iran agreement.

Commercial International Bank posted consolidated net profit of EGP 17.8 billion for the first quarter of 2026, up 7 percent from a year earlier. Revenue reached EGP 31.2 billion, a 15 percent increase, even as regional tensions and currency moves created challenges.

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