The Central Bank's Market Expectations Survey adjusted its forecasts for inflation and the exchange rate in 2026.
According to the latest Market Expectations Survey published on June 4, inflation for May is expected at 2.3% and core inflation at 2.2%. The official INDEC figure will be released on June 11. Projections show inflation continuing to decline: 2.1% in June, 2.0% in July, 1.8% in August and 1.9% in September. Accumulated inflation for 2026 is estimated at 30.5%, 1.5 percentage points below the previous survey. The official dollar is projected at 1,422 pesos for June and 1,658 pesos for December, with a year-on-year variation of 14.5%. GDP would grow 2.9% for the year, with unemployment falling to 7.4% in the fourth quarter.
