Illustration of central bank analysts reviewing inflation and exchange rate forecasts.
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Central Bank projects 2.3% inflation for May and dollar at 1,422 in June

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Kiswahili

The Central Bank's Market Expectations Survey adjusted its forecasts for inflation and the exchange rate in 2026.

According to the latest Market Expectations Survey published on June 4, inflation for May is expected at 2.3% and core inflation at 2.2%. The official INDEC figure will be released on June 11. Projections show inflation continuing to decline: 2.1% in June, 2.0% in July, 1.8% in August and 1.9% in September. Accumulated inflation for 2026 is estimated at 30.5%, 1.5 percentage points below the previous survey. The official dollar is projected at 1,422 pesos for June and 1,658 pesos for December, with a year-on-year variation of 14.5%. GDP would grow 2.9% for the year, with unemployment falling to 7.4% in the fourth quarter.

Watu wanasema nini

Initial reactions on X to the BCRA's REM survey show mostly neutral reporting and sharing of the 2.3% May inflation projection, with analysts noting stable expectations, slight downward revisions for later months, and some personal estimates or dollar forecasts for 2026.

Makala yanayohusiana

Argentine President Javier Milei celebrating falling inflation rates to 2.6% in April
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April inflation falls to 2.6% as Milei hails the data

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The National Institute of Statistics and Censuses reported the consumer price index at 2.6% for April, the lowest reading in ten months.

Private estimates place June inflation below 2%

Two Argentine consultancies calculated that June inflation stood between 1.8% and 1.9%, below the 2% monthly threshold.

Colombia inflation expectations exceed Banco de la República target

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Services inflation excluding rent reached 9.1% in May, driven by the 23% minimum wage hike. Market expectations for end-2026 rose to 6.5%.

Marekani

Central bank raises rates by 200 basis points amid rising inflation

Marekani

Colombia inflation hits 5.84 percent in May, highest since August 2024

Marekani

Central Bank raises growth projections for 2027 and 2028

Central bank of egypt holds interest rates amid rising inflation outlook

The Central Bank of Egypt kept key interest rates unchanged on Thursday. It expects annual headline inflation to accelerate through the third quarter of 2026 before easing later.

Official dollar reaches 1500 pesos at end of June

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The official dollar traded at 1500 pesos for sale on Tuesday June 30 at Banco Nación. The exchange rate accumulated a 5% rise during the month. Country risk closed below 430 basis points.

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Job offers fall 6.1% in June marking eight straight months of declines

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Central Visayas inflation eases to 10 percent in June

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Egypt’s headline inflation eases to 14.6% in May

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Dollar closes at 3,588.12 up on election uncertainty

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Annual inflation in Colombia rises to 5.68% in April

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