Central Bank raises growth projections for 2027 and 2028

The June Monetary Policy Report cut the GDP expansion range for 2026 but improved estimates for the following two years. Officials noted that the adjustments come before the megareform and the US-Iran agreement.

In its June report the Central Bank reduced the 2026 GDP growth range to between 1% and 1.75%, from the previous interval of 1.5% to 2.5%. At the same time it raised the projection for 2027 to a range of 2% to 3% and that for 2028 to between 1.75% and 2.75%.

Finance Minister Jorge Quiroz welcomed the upward corrections from Congress. “That is still before our reconstruction bill, which we are confident will further raise that future growth expectation,” he said.

Central Bank President Rosanna Costa presented the report to the Senate Finance Commission. She explained that the Chilean economy performed below expectations due to the weak performance of sectors linked to natural resources, although growth prospects for 2026-2028 show no significant differences from March.

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Economists reviewing downward-trending 2026 GDP growth charts for Mexico in a conference room.
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Analysts cut Mexico growth projections for 2026

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Mexico’s 2026 GDP growth estimates have been revised downward by market analysts, the OECD and other institutions.

The latest Relevamiento de Expectativas de Mercado (REM) from the Banco Central has raised inflation expectations for March and the rest of 2026. Consultancies forecast 3.0% for March, with an annual projection of 29.1%. They also updated estimates for the dollar, GDP, and unemployment.

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Technical manager Hernando Vargas presented the Banco de la República's Monetary Policy Report, highlighting the interest rate hike and lower-than-expected GDP growth.

The Banco de la República released its Monthly Survey of Economists' Expectations, forecasting year-end inflation at 6.32% and interest rates at 12.25%. These projections mark an upward revision from March. Experts anticipate a gradual moderation in subsequent years.

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The Central Bank of Egypt kept key interest rates unchanged on Thursday. It expects annual headline inflation to accelerate through the third quarter of 2026 before easing later.

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