Private estimates place June inflation below 2%

Two Argentine consultancies calculated that June inflation stood between 1.8% and 1.9%, below the 2% monthly threshold.

The Centro de Análisis Económico Equilibra estimated a 1.9% variation in the Consumer Price Index for June, with core inflation at 1.5%. The figure matches the median of private consultancies and came in below the 2.1% projected by the Central Bank's Market Expectations Survey.

The consultancy Libertad y Progreso, through economist Iván Cachanovsky, projected 1.8% for the same month. Cachanovsky noted that this result “would obviously be very good news” for the Government by breaking below the 2% threshold.

Equilibra detailed that non-seasonal food and beverages rose 0.9%, while seasonal and regulated products advanced 2.8%. The last official INDEC figure corresponds to May, with a 2.1% increase.

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Illustration of central bank analysts reviewing inflation and exchange rate forecasts.
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Central Bank projects 2.3% inflation for May and dollar at 1,422 in June

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The Central Bank's Market Expectations Survey adjusted its forecasts for inflation and the exchange rate in 2026.

The National Institute of Statistics and Censuses reported the consumer price index at 2.6% for April, the lowest reading in ten months.

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Economy Minister Luis Caputo projected that March inflation will exceed 3%, driven by oil impacts and educational seasonality. The official INDEC data will be released on Tuesday, April 14, at 4 p.m. Caputo assured that disinflation and economic growth will begin from April.

Statistics South Africa data released on 17 June 2026 showed consumer food price inflation slowing to 1.6% in May, the lowest level in 17 months.

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Dane reported that Colombia's annual inflation for March 2026 reached 5.56%, up from 5.29% in February. This is the highest rate since September 2024 at 5.81%. Year-to-date inflation for the first quarter stood at 3.07%.

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Analysts project year-end inflation at 6.32% and rates at 12.25%

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