Central Bank of Egypt expected to keep interest rates unchanged

The Central Bank of Egypt’s Monetary Policy Committee is expected to leave key interest rates unchanged at its meeting on Thursday.

The Monetary Policy Committee of the Central Bank of Egypt is set to hold its third regular meeting of the year on Thursday to decide on key interest rates. The meeting follows two consecutive reductions earlier this year.

Market expectations and expert assessments strongly favor keeping rates unchanged. At its previous meeting on 2 April, the committee maintained the overnight deposit rate at 19%, the overnight lending rate at 20%, and the main operation rate at 19.5%.

Annual core inflation slowed to 13.8% in April from 14%, while annual urban headline inflation eased to 14.9% from 15.2%. Analysts cite this moderation, along with elevated real interest rates, as reasons for a cautious hold amid ongoing geopolitical pressures.

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In its May 1, 2026 board meeting, Banco de la República unanimously kept the benchmark interest rate at 11.25%, surprising analysts expecting a hike to combat accelerating inflation. Finance Minister Germán Ávila participated fully, citing constructive dialogue, while board members justified the decision to maintain stability amid political pressures.

Egypt's Central Bank Monetary Policy Committee is expected to hold interest rates unchanged at its Thursday meeting, following cuts in December 2025 and February 2026. The decision comes amid rising core inflation and geopolitical risks. Experts describe the hold as the most prudent option to maintain stability.

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The European Central Bank (ECB) has kept its Eurozone deposit rate at 2.0 percent. Despite sharply rising prices and heightened inflation expectations, the ECB refrained from a rate hike. Investors now anticipate moves from June onward.

Leading economists gathered at a seminar hosted by the Egyptian Center for Economic Studies to discuss how digital currencies are reshaping the global financial landscape. They highlighted unprecedented challenges to monetary policy and the need for flexible regulatory frameworks. Speakers emphasized innovation opportunities alongside significant risks.

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Egypt’s annual urban headline inflation accelerated to 13.4% in February 2026, up from 11.9% in January, driven by seasonal rises in food and non-food prices. Food inflation reached 4.6%, while non-food inflation climbed to 19.3%.

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