Egypt November 2025 inflation: CBE highlights food slowdown and fuel-driven rises

Egypt's annual urban headline inflation eased to 12.3% in November 2025 from 12.5% in October, the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) confirmed, aligning with prior CAPMAS data. Food inflation slowed sharply to 0.7% from 1.5%, non-food to 20.2% from 20.4%, while monthly headline inflation fell to 0.3% from 1.8%.

Annual core inflation edged up to 12.5% from 12.1%, though monthly core decelerated to 0.8% from 2.0% on a 0.8% drop in core food prices. Rural headline inflation held steady at 7.9%, and nationwide reached 10.0% from 10.1%.

The monthly food price contraction of -2.6% drove the easing, with fresh fruits down 1.8%, vegetables 17.8%, poultry 3.2%, and eggs 5.7%. However, non-food inflation rose 2.1%, fueled by a 2.3% regulated price increase after an 11.6% fuel hike on October 17 and 13.7% higher public transport fares. Services climbed 2.2% on rents and private transport, retail 1.3% in clothing and household items.

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News illustration of steady U.S. February CPI data at 2.4% amid expected oil price surges from geopolitical tensions.
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February CPI holds steady above Fed's target

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The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the Consumer Price Index for February 2026 rose 0.3% month-over-month and remained at 2.4% year-over-year, matching economist expectations. Core CPI, excluding food and energy, increased 0.2% monthly and stayed at 2.5% annually. While inflation showed stability before the recent U.S.-Israel-Iran war, surging oil prices are expected to push future readings higher.

Egypt’s annual urban headline inflation accelerated to 13.4% in February 2026, up from 11.9% in January, driven by seasonal rises in food and non-food prices. Food inflation reached 4.6%, while non-food inflation climbed to 19.3%.

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CORE Indonesia projects March 2026 annual inflation at 3.5-3.6 percent, down from February's 4.76 percent. The forecast reflects a low-base effect from electricity tariffs, though Lebaran and non-subsidized fuel prices may push monthly inflation higher. Official BPS data is due on April 1, 2026.

The Banco de la República released its Monthly Survey of Economists' Expectations, forecasting year-end inflation at 6.32% and interest rates at 12.25%. These projections mark an upward revision from March. Experts anticipate a gradual moderation in subsequent years.

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Egypt’s Central Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics (CAPMAS) reported that the trade deficit widened to $4.8bn in January 2026, a 15% increase from $4.2bn in January 2025. The rise was driven by a 20.3% drop in exports to $3.6bn, while imports fell 3.2% to $8.4bn.

The National Administrative Department of Statistics (Dane) reported that Colombia's annual inflation for February 2026 was 5.29%, a slight slowdown from January's 5.35%. The monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) variation stood at 1.08%, driven by rises in education and food. This figure remains above the Central Bank's target range of 3%.

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Mexico's National Institute of Statistics and Geography (Inegi) reported annual inflation at 4.63% for the first half of March 2026, exceeding analysts' estimates. The National Consumer Price Index (INPC) rose 0.62% from the previous half-month period.

 

 

 

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