Egypt November 2025 inflation: CBE highlights food slowdown and fuel-driven rises

Egypt's annual urban headline inflation eased to 12.3% in November 2025 from 12.5% in October, the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) confirmed, aligning with prior CAPMAS data. Food inflation slowed sharply to 0.7% from 1.5%, non-food to 20.2% from 20.4%, while monthly headline inflation fell to 0.3% from 1.8%.

Annual core inflation edged up to 12.5% from 12.1%, though monthly core decelerated to 0.8% from 2.0% on a 0.8% drop in core food prices. Rural headline inflation held steady at 7.9%, and nationwide reached 10.0% from 10.1%.

The monthly food price contraction of -2.6% drove the easing, with fresh fruits down 1.8%, vegetables 17.8%, poultry 3.2%, and eggs 5.7%. However, non-food inflation rose 2.1%, fueled by a 2.3% regulated price increase after an 11.6% fuel hike on October 17 and 13.7% higher public transport fares. Services climbed 2.2% on rents and private transport, retail 1.3% in clothing and household items.

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The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the Consumer Price Index for February 2026 rose 0.3% month-over-month and remained at 2.4% year-over-year, matching economist expectations. Core CPI, excluding food and energy, increased 0.2% monthly and stayed at 2.5% annually. While inflation showed stability before the recent U.S.-Israel-Iran war, surging oil prices are expected to push future readings higher.

Annual urban headline inflation in Egypt remained stable at around 12.3% in December 2025, virtually unchanged from November, according to the Central Bank of Egypt. The dynamics continue to be driven primarily by non-food prices, as food inflation has fallen back to pre-2022 levels. Annual food inflation declined sharply to 1.5%.

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The Central Bank of Egypt has outlined factors behind moderated inflation in January 2026, with annual urban headline inflation falling to 11.9% from 12.3% in December 2025, driven mainly by non-food inflation dropping to 18.6%, its lowest since October 2023. Food inflation rose temporarily to 1.9% from 1.5%. Nationwide headline inflation eased slightly to 10.1% from 10.3%.

Egypt's Central Bank Monetary Policy Committee is expected to hold interest rates unchanged at its Thursday meeting, following cuts in December 2025 and February 2026. The decision comes amid rising core inflation and geopolitical risks. Experts describe the hold as the most prudent option to maintain stability.

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South Korea's inflationary pressure eased to the lowest level in five years in 2025, following the sharpest price growth in decades during the post-pandemic period. Consumer prices, a key gauge of inflation, increased 2.1 percent on-year, slightly above the Bank of Korea's 2 percent target. The figure marks the lowest annual level since 0.5 percent in 2020.

South Korea's consumer prices rose 2 percent year-on-year in January, marking the slowest pace in five months. The slowdown was partly due to stable petroleum product prices, as international crude oil prices fell, according to government data. However, prices for some agricultural and livestock products continued to surge sharply.

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Egypt’s Central Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics (CAPMAS) reported that the trade deficit widened to $4.8bn in January 2026, a 15% increase from $4.2bn in January 2025. The rise was driven by a 20.3% drop in exports to $3.6bn, while imports fell 3.2% to $8.4bn.

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Egypt's urban inflation eases to 12.3% in November 2025

 

 

 

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