Egypt's headline inflation stable at 12.3% in December 2025

Annual urban headline inflation in Egypt remained stable at around 12.3% in December 2025, virtually unchanged from November, according to the Central Bank of Egypt. The dynamics continue to be driven primarily by non-food prices, as food inflation has fallen back to pre-2022 levels. Annual food inflation declined sharply to 1.5%.

The Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) reported that annual urban headline inflation held steady at 12.3% in December 2025, unchanged from November. This stability reflects a sharp drop in annual food inflation to 1.5%, down from 20.3% in December 2024, though it ticked up slightly from 0.7% in November 2025. Meanwhile, annual non-food inflation eased to 19.5% from 20.2% the prior month.

Annual core inflation fell to 11.8% from 12.5%, driven by weaker contributions from core food, retail, and services. On a monthly basis, urban headline inflation was 0.2%, broadly matching November and December 2024 levels, supported by price declines in volatile and core food items that offset rises in services and regulated prices, including higher household natural gas tariffs.

Regionally, annual rural headline inflation rose to 8.3% from 7.9%, while nationwide inflation edged up to 10.3% from 10.0%. Monthly food inflation was negative 0.7%, with volatile food prices down 1.6%, fresh fruits falling 2.3%, vegetables 1.0%, poultry 2.5%, and eggs 5.7%.

Non-food monthly inflation reached 0.8%, fueled by a 0.6% rise in regulated prices – mainly a 23.0% hike in household natural gas, the second in 2025 – alongside 0.9% increases in services like rents and restaurant spending, and 0.6% in retail for clothing and personal care. These patterns highlight a balance between downward food pressures and upward non-food forces, suggesting gradual economic stabilization.

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News illustration of steady U.S. February CPI data at 2.4% amid expected oil price surges from geopolitical tensions.
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The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the Consumer Price Index for February 2026 rose 0.3% month-over-month and remained at 2.4% year-over-year, matching economist expectations. Core CPI, excluding food and energy, increased 0.2% monthly and stayed at 2.5% annually. While inflation showed stability before the recent U.S.-Israel-Iran war, surging oil prices are expected to push future readings higher.

Egypt's annual urban headline inflation eased to 12.3% in November 2025 from 12.5% in October, the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) confirmed, aligning with prior CAPMAS data. Food inflation slowed sharply to 0.7% from 1.5%, non-food to 20.2% from 20.4%, while monthly headline inflation fell to 0.3% from 1.8%.

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The Central Bank of Egypt has outlined factors behind moderated inflation in January 2026, with annual urban headline inflation falling to 11.9% from 12.3% in December 2025, driven mainly by non-food inflation dropping to 18.6%, its lowest since October 2023. Food inflation rose temporarily to 1.9% from 1.5%. Nationwide headline inflation eased slightly to 10.1% from 10.3%.

Inflation in the Philippines rose to 2.0% in January 2026, marking the second consecutive month of rising prices for goods, according to the Philippine Statistics Authority on February 5. This was up from 1.8% in December 2025. The increase stemmed from higher inflation in housing, water, electricity, gas, and other fuels.

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Consultancy firm Empiria reported that in February 2026, the poorest 10% of households faced 3.3% inflation, compared to 2.9% for the richest 10%. The gap stems from the heavier weight of food and housing in low-income baskets. INDEC confirmed a general monthly inflation rate of 2.9%.

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Core consumer prices in Tokyo rose 2.3 percent year-on-year in December, slowing from 2.8 percent in November but staying above the Bank of Japan's 2 percent target. The figure fell short of market expectations of 2.5 percent, triggering yen weakness. As a leading indicator for nationwide trends, the data will factor into the BOJ's next policy meeting.

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