Egypt's urban inflation eases to 12.3% in November 2025

Egypt’s urban inflation eased slightly in November 2025, dipping to 12.3% from 12.5% in October, according to data released by the Central Agency for Public Mobilisation and Statistics (CAPMAS). Monthly inflation slowed markedly to 0.3%, compared with 1.8% in the previous month. CAPMAS reported that the nationwide consumer price index reached 263.8 points.

The Central Agency for Public Mobilisation and Statistics (CAPMAS) released its data on Wednesday, indicating Egypt's urban inflation fell to 12.3% in November 2025. The nationwide consumer price index declined by 0.2% to 263.8 points from October. The drop was mainly attributed to a 15.8% fall in vegetable prices, along with a 0.2% decrease in cereals and bread, 1.5% in meat and poultry, 0.8% in fish and seafood, 1.2% in dairy products, and 0.4% in personal belongings.

However, several categories experienced price rises, including oils and fats up 0.3%, coffee, tea, and cocoa by 0.3%, mineral water by 0.4%, tobacco by 0.3%, fabrics by 0.6%, ready-made clothing by 1.2%, and clothing cleaning services by 1.4%. In housing, actual rent increased 2.1%, imputed rent 2.0%, and electricity, gas, and fuels 3.9%. Additional hikes occurred in private transport expenditure at 6.4% and transport services at 8.3%.

Monthly core CPI inflation stood at 0.8% in November 2025, compared to 2.0% in October, while annual core CPI rose to 12.5%. Nationwide annual inflation eased to 10% from 10.1%. On November 20, Egypt's Central Bank Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) decided to keep key interest rates unchanged at 21% for deposits and 22% for lending.

In its statement, the MPC noted the decision reflected recent inflation trends, emphasizing the need for further monthly declines to meet targets. It anticipated a rise in headline inflation toward the end of the fourth quarter due to higher energy prices, followed by easing in the second half of 2026. The committee warned of upside risks from geopolitical tensions and stressed vigilant monitoring.

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The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the Consumer Price Index for February 2026 rose 0.3% month-over-month and remained at 2.4% year-over-year, matching economist expectations. Core CPI, excluding food and energy, increased 0.2% monthly and stayed at 2.5% annually. While inflation showed stability before the recent U.S.-Israel-Iran war, surging oil prices are expected to push future readings higher.

The Central Agency for Public Mobilisation and Statistics announced that Egypt's annual urban inflation rate stabilized at 12.3% in December 2025, unchanged from November. Month-on-month inflation eased to 0.2%, signaling ongoing slowdown in price pressures. Declines in food prices primarily drove this stability.

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Egypt's annual urban headline inflation eased to 12.3% in November 2025 from 12.5% in October, the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) confirmed, aligning with prior CAPMAS data. Food inflation slowed sharply to 0.7% from 1.5%, non-food to 20.2% from 20.4%, while monthly headline inflation fell to 0.3% from 1.8%.

Salaries rose 1.8% in November 2025, below that month's 2.5% inflation, according to data from the National Institute of Statistics and Censos (INDEC). From January to November, incomes increased an average of 36%, exceeding the 27.9% inflation for the period. However, growth in registered employment lagged behind the informal sector.

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The Central Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics released its monthly Foreign Trade Data bulletin for October 2025, showing Egypt's trade deficit at $4.58bn, up 1.3% from the previous year. Exports fell 1.1% to $4.17bn, while imports edged up 0.18% to $8.75bn.

Chilean economists anticipate a negative or zero variation in the Consumer Price Index (IPC) for December, closing 2025 annual inflation around 3.5% or 3.6%. For the first quarter of 2026, they project convergence below 3%, driven by drops in fuels, food, and electricity. Official data will be released on January 8.

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Egypt’s Central Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics (CAPMAS) reported that the trade deficit widened to $4.8bn in January 2026, a 15% increase from $4.2bn in January 2025. The rise was driven by a 20.3% drop in exports to $3.6bn, while imports fell 3.2% to $8.4bn.

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