Egypt's headline inflation stable at 12.3% in December 2025

Annual urban headline inflation in Egypt remained stable at around 12.3% in December 2025, virtually unchanged from November, according to the Central Bank of Egypt. The dynamics continue to be driven primarily by non-food prices, as food inflation has fallen back to pre-2022 levels. Annual food inflation declined sharply to 1.5%.

The Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) reported that annual urban headline inflation held steady at 12.3% in December 2025, unchanged from November. This stability reflects a sharp drop in annual food inflation to 1.5%, down from 20.3% in December 2024, though it ticked up slightly from 0.7% in November 2025. Meanwhile, annual non-food inflation eased to 19.5% from 20.2% the prior month.

Annual core inflation fell to 11.8% from 12.5%, driven by weaker contributions from core food, retail, and services. On a monthly basis, urban headline inflation was 0.2%, broadly matching November and December 2024 levels, supported by price declines in volatile and core food items that offset rises in services and regulated prices, including higher household natural gas tariffs.

Regionally, annual rural headline inflation rose to 8.3% from 7.9%, while nationwide inflation edged up to 10.3% from 10.0%. Monthly food inflation was negative 0.7%, with volatile food prices down 1.6%, fresh fruits falling 2.3%, vegetables 1.0%, poultry 2.5%, and eggs 5.7%.

Non-food monthly inflation reached 0.8%, fueled by a 0.6% rise in regulated prices – mainly a 23.0% hike in household natural gas, the second in 2025 – alongside 0.9% increases in services like rents and restaurant spending, and 0.6% in retail for clothing and personal care. These patterns highlight a balance between downward food pressures and upward non-food forces, suggesting gradual economic stabilization.

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Egypt's annual urban headline inflation eased to 12.3% in November 2025 from 12.5% in October, the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) confirmed, aligning with prior CAPMAS data. Food inflation slowed sharply to 0.7% from 1.5%, non-food to 20.2% from 20.4%, while monthly headline inflation fell to 0.3% from 1.8%.

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The Central Agency for Public Mobilisation and Statistics announced that Egypt's annual urban inflation rate stabilized at 12.3% in December 2025, unchanged from November. Month-on-month inflation eased to 0.2%, signaling ongoing slowdown in price pressures. Declines in food prices primarily drove this stability.

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Salaries rose 1.8% in November 2025, below that month's 2.5% inflation, according to data from the National Institute of Statistics and Censos (INDEC). From January to November, incomes increased an average of 36%, exceeding the 27.9% inflation for the period. However, growth in registered employment lagged behind the informal sector.

Egypt’s non-oil exports grew by 18% to $44.392bn in the first 11 months of 2025, helping to narrow the trade deficit by 12% to $30.346bn. Imports rose modestly by 4% to $74.738bn during the same period. Minister of Investment and Foreign Trade Hassan El-Khatib reviewed these figures from the General Organisation for Export and Import Control.

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The aggregate balance sheet of banks operating in Egypt's local market, excluding the central bank, climbed to EGP 24.752trn by end-August 2025, driven by household deposits. The Central Bank of Egypt reported a EGP 477bn increase from end-June 2025. This growth highlights the banking sector's resilience amid rising domestic liquidity.

 

 

 

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