César Giraldo says rate hikes will not curb inflation

Banco de la República codirector César Giraldo said raising interest rates is no longer effective against current inflation, which is driven by external factors like oil and weather.

Giraldo, in an interview on May 8 in Bogotá, noted that rates are already at a contractionary level of 11.25 percent without reducing inflation, which hit 5.6 percent annually in March. He said pressures stem from higher oil prices, supply chain disruptions and climate events, beyond monetary policy reach.

The official, aligned with President Gustavo Petro, proposed using other tools like open market operations and currency interventions, alongside government energy subsidies. He acknowledged private consumption has grown from higher salaries and remittances, not excessive debt, though public spending adds pressures amid the fiscal deficit.

Giraldo voted against recent hikes and defended the central bank's autonomy, focusing on debating methods to reach the inflation target.

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Banco de la República board unanimously holds interest rate at 11.25% in meeting with Finance Minister amid inflation and political tensions.
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Banco de la República unanimously holds interest rate at 11.25%, defying hike expectations amid government tensions

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In its May 1, 2026 board meeting, Banco de la República unanimously kept the benchmark interest rate at 11.25%, surprising analysts expecting a hike to combat accelerating inflation. Finance Minister Germán Ávila participated fully, citing constructive dialogue, while board members justified the decision to maintain stability amid political pressures.

Following its January hike to 10.25%, Colombia's Banco de la República raised its intervention rate by another 100 basis points to 11.25% in a tight 4-3 vote during its second meeting of the year. Finance Minister Germán Ávila walked out of the board meeting and announced the government's withdrawal from the central bank over disagreements. President Gustavo Petro backed the move and criticized the monetary policy.

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Leonardo Villar, general manager of Banco de la República, and Germán Ávila, finance minister, clashed in a political oversight debate on the fiscal impact of recent interest rate hikes. Villar defended the bank's autonomy and criticized government discrediting. Ávila responded by highlighting his guerrilla past and questioning Colombia's rate increases compared to other countries.

The Banco de la República released its Monthly Survey of Economists' Expectations, forecasting year-end inflation at 6.32% and interest rates at 12.25%. These projections mark an upward revision from March. Experts anticipate a gradual moderation in subsequent years.

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President Javier Milei closed the AmCham Summit 2026 defending fiscal and monetary adjustment amid March's 3.4% inflation. He attributed the rise to transitory factors like last year's shocks and promised that 'inflation is going to collapse'. He firmly rejected accepting more inflation to boost growth, calling it 'trash'.

Argentina's Central Bank (BCRA) decided to cut bank reserve requirements by five percentage points starting in April, freeing up liquidity for banks to issue more loans amid recession. Led by Santiago Bausili, the move aims to revive economic activity without derailing inflation control. Analysts note the shift to a more expansionary policy after months of monetary contraction.

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President Gustavo Petro declared an economic emergency to address the crisis from heavy rains in northern Colombia. The measure aims to raise $8 billion through a temporary wealth tax on large companies and other levies. Critics question the management of existing resources and warn of economic impacts.

 

 

 

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