China seen as greatest threat to Philippines in poll

A majority of Filipinos continue to distrust China, with nearly eight in 10 viewing the Asian giant as the greatest threat to the country, according to an OCTA Research survey conducted in December 2025. Seventy-nine percent of respondents selected China from a list of countries. This reflects a steady intensification of this perception since 2021.

The OCTA Research survey, conducted from December 3 to 11, 2025, involved 1,200 respondents with a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percent. Sixty percent of respondents were "strongly" or "somewhat" distrustful of China, while 13 percent expressed trust and 26 percent were undecided.

When asked which country posed the greatest threat from a list, 79 percent chose China, far ahead of others: Russia at 5 percent, the United States at 4 percent, North Korea and Saudi Arabia at 2 percent each, and Japan, Iran, and Pakistan at 1 percent each. None selected Australia or India, and 4 percent said no country on the list was a threat.

OCTA described this as a "clear, stable and intensifying trend," with 79 percent identifying China as the top threat in December 2025, up from 74 percent in July 2025. Since January 2021, a clear majority has consistently viewed China this way, showing consolidation of the perception.

La Union Representative and House Deputy Speaker Paolo Ortega V said the results reflect public sentiment influenced by President Marcos' firm, law-based defense of territorial rights. "President Marcos has been clear and consistent: we will defend what is ours, anchored on law and diplomacy," he stated. He noted the West Philippine Sea issue affects fishermen and food security daily. "This is not about being anti-any nation. This is about being pro-law, pro-sovereignty and pro-Filipino," Ortega emphasized.

However, Senate Foreign Relations Committee Chair Sen. Imee Marcos urged restraint in public statements on international matters. "Reckless statements and intemperate rhetoric can have dire impact on bilateral relations," she warned.

In related developments, the Philippine Air Force deployed three aircraft, including an FA-50PH fighter jet, for the 11th Philippines-US Bilateral Maritime Cooperative Activity on January 25-26, 2026, in the West Philippine Sea. A Chinese warship was monitored nearby but took no aggressive actions.

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Commodore Jay Tarriela of the Philippine Coast Guard fires back at China's diplomatic protest during a tense press conference on West Philippine Sea disputes.
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Tarriela fires back at China's diplomatic protest over West Philippine Sea

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Philippine Coast Guard Commodore Jay Tarriela responded to the Chinese Embassy in Manila's diplomatic protest against his statements, calling it an attempt to divert attention from China's aggressive actions in the West Philippine Sea. The protest stemmed from a presentation he made featuring satirical images of Chinese President Xi Jinping. Malacañang and the Department of Foreign Affairs have yet to respond.

Most Filipinos want the Marcos administration to collaborate with the United States and other allies to defend rights in the West Philippine Sea, according to a Pulse Asia survey.

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In a closed-door session, Philippine officials and civil society members discussed handling a potential influx of refugees from the Taiwan Strait amid a possible Chinese forcible reunification of Taiwan.

Chinese ships shadowed the Philippines' regular aid mission for fisherfolk off Scarborough (Panatag) Shoal on Friday in the West Philippine Sea, which a regional monitor called a 'new normal.' Philippine Coast Guard spokesperson Commodore Jay Tarriela confirmed the ongoing 'Kadiwa' mission there. Ray Powell noted six China Coast Guard and 10 maritime militia vessels enforcing an exclusion zone.

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In 2025, the Philippines actively diversified its security partnerships, signing visiting forces agreements and conducting joint drills with countries like Canada, New Zealand, and France, as part of efforts to boost deterrence against regional threats.

China's military has announced large-scale exercises around Taiwan codenamed 'Justice Mission 2025,' set for Tuesday. The drills will emphasize port blockades and deterrence against external forces, following Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's comments on potential intervention and recent U.S. arms sales to the island.

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Following China's December 29 announcement, the PLA launched 'Justice Mission 2025' exercises around Taiwan on December 30, prompting Japan to dispatch a Maritime Self-Defense Force destroyer for surveillance amid heightened tensions over U.S. arms sales and Tokyo's warnings on a potential Taiwan crisis.

 

 

 

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