China seen as greatest threat to Philippines in poll

A majority of Filipinos continue to distrust China, with nearly eight in 10 viewing the Asian giant as the greatest threat to the country, according to an OCTA Research survey conducted in December 2025. Seventy-nine percent of respondents selected China from a list of countries. This reflects a steady intensification of this perception since 2021.

The OCTA Research survey, conducted from December 3 to 11, 2025, involved 1,200 respondents with a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percent. Sixty percent of respondents were "strongly" or "somewhat" distrustful of China, while 13 percent expressed trust and 26 percent were undecided.

When asked which country posed the greatest threat from a list, 79 percent chose China, far ahead of others: Russia at 5 percent, the United States at 4 percent, North Korea and Saudi Arabia at 2 percent each, and Japan, Iran, and Pakistan at 1 percent each. None selected Australia or India, and 4 percent said no country on the list was a threat.

OCTA described this as a "clear, stable and intensifying trend," with 79 percent identifying China as the top threat in December 2025, up from 74 percent in July 2025. Since January 2021, a clear majority has consistently viewed China this way, showing consolidation of the perception.

La Union Representative and House Deputy Speaker Paolo Ortega V said the results reflect public sentiment influenced by President Marcos' firm, law-based defense of territorial rights. "President Marcos has been clear and consistent: we will defend what is ours, anchored on law and diplomacy," he stated. He noted the West Philippine Sea issue affects fishermen and food security daily. "This is not about being anti-any nation. This is about being pro-law, pro-sovereignty and pro-Filipino," Ortega emphasized.

However, Senate Foreign Relations Committee Chair Sen. Imee Marcos urged restraint in public statements on international matters. "Reckless statements and intemperate rhetoric can have dire impact on bilateral relations," she warned.

In related developments, the Philippine Air Force deployed three aircraft, including an FA-50PH fighter jet, for the 11th Philippines-US Bilateral Maritime Cooperative Activity on January 25-26, 2026, in the West Philippine Sea. A Chinese warship was monitored nearby but took no aggressive actions.

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Commodore Jay Tarriela of the Philippine Coast Guard fires back at China's diplomatic protest during a tense press conference on West Philippine Sea disputes.
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Tarriela fires back at China's diplomatic protest over West Philippine Sea

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Philippine Coast Guard Commodore Jay Tarriela responded to the Chinese Embassy in Manila's diplomatic protest against his statements, calling it an attempt to divert attention from China's aggressive actions in the West Philippine Sea. The protest stemmed from a presentation he made featuring satirical images of Chinese President Xi Jinping. Malacañang and the Department of Foreign Affairs have yet to respond.

Most Filipinos want the Marcos administration to collaborate with the United States and other allies to defend rights in the West Philippine Sea, according to a Pulse Asia survey.

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After over six weeks of exchanges between the Chinese embassy and Philippine officials, the DFA urged calm and professional responses. The Chinese embassy called for the Philippines to speak with a unified voice. Philippine troops remain unaffected by the tensions, the Navy said.

In 2026, cooperation between Philippine and US forces will intensify, largely due to China's looming threat to Taiwan, just a boat ride from the Philippines' northernmost island. In the 'Hindi Ito Marites' podcast episode, Rappler editor-at-large Marites Vitug forecasts the trajectory of Philippine-US ties and how the Taiwan situation inevitably draws in the Philippines.

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A Senate debate heated up on Monday, February 3, as Sen. Francis Pangilinan and Sen. Rodante Marcoleta clashed over the legal basis of the Philippines' claim in the West Philippine Sea. Marcoleta questioned the validity of the 2016 arbitral ruling, while Pangilinan defended it as clearly favoring the country.

Following the US military capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, Philippine senators dismissed potential economic impacts but cautioned that the intervention could encourage aggressive actions by powers like China and Russia, affecting regional disputes including the South China Sea.

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During the ASEAN and East Asia summits in Kuala Lumpur, President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. criticized China's actions in the South China Sea while expressing optimism about finalizing a Code of Conduct and inviting Chinese President Xi Jinping to Manila in 2026. This approach highlights the Philippines' dual strategy of asserting sovereignty and seeking diplomatic progress as it assumes the ASEAN chairmanship. Concerns arise that prioritizing the code could lead to concessions amid ongoing tensions.

 

 

 

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