Ekspor Jerman turun di Januari, menandakan awal ekonomi yang lemah

Ekspor Jerman turun 2,3% pada Januari dibandingkan bulan sebelumnya, setelah kenaikan 4,0% di Desember. Impor turun lebih tajam lagi sebesar 5,9%, yang memperlebar surplus perdagangan menjadi €21,2 miliar, tertinggi sejak musim panas. Data ini menyumbang pada permulaan yang menantang bagi ekonomi Jerman di tahun baru.

Data perdagangan terbaru yang dirilis untuk Jerman menunjukkan penurunan aktivitas perdagangan eksternal di awal tahun. Ekspor menurun 2,3% bulan-ke-bulan pada Januari, membalikkan pertumbuhan 4,0% yang terlihat pada Desember. Sementara itu, impor turun 5,9% selama periode yang sama, mengakibatkan perluasan surplus perdagangan menjadi €21,2 miliar—terbesar sejak bulan-bulan musim panas. Carsten Brzeski, Global Head of Macro di ING, mencatat bahwa perkembangan ini telah meredam ekspektasi pertumbuhan ekonomi. Ia menyatakan bahwa meskipun stimulus fiskal diharapkan mendukung akselerasi nantinya di tahun ini, indikator makro yang lemah secara berkelanjutan dapat merusak prospek tersebut. Data Januari menggarisbawahi kinerja lesu yang lebih luas di seluruh ekonomi Jerman di awal tahun. Meskipun surplus melebar, penurunan keseluruhan ekspor dan impor menyoroti kerentanan potensial pada permintaan, baik domestik maupun internasional. Brzeski menekankan bahwa optimisme prospek pertumbuhan terdampak tren ini minggu ini, meskipun arah jangka panjang tetap bergantung pada langkah kebijakan.

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