India faces trump's tariffs and diplomatic challenges in 2025

In 2025, India encountered significant hurdles in its relations with the United States under President Trump, including steep tariffs on its goods and diplomatic setbacks following the Pahalgam terrorist attack. External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar had expressed optimism earlier in the year about converging interests. However, events unfolded differently, highlighting contrasts in diplomatic strategies with Pakistan.

The year 2025 saw foreign policy and trade relations overshadow domestic events in India. In January, External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar stated, “Unlike some, we are not nervous of a Trump-led US administration, there is a convergence of interests.” Yet, just months later, President Trump imposed 25% tariffs on Indian goods, which were later increased to 50%. This move caught India's foreign office off guard, especially in the wake of the Pahalgam terrorist attack.

Pakistan, led by Field Marshal Asim Munir, responded swiftly by securing a lucrative cryptocurrency deal with a Trump family firm. Zachary Witkoff, a Trump business partner, visited Pakistan, and Munir was welcomed as an honored guest by Trump in the US. During his visit, Munir boasted about confronting India, likening Pakistan to a 'dumpster truck' and India to a 'shining Mercedes,' and even nominated Trump for the Nobel Peace Prize for supposedly ending the Indo-Pakistan conflict.

India's diplomatic efforts appeared less agile. Prime Minister Narendra Modi attended a meeting with Trump without notable business accompaniments, unlike Pakistan's Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, who presented rare-earth minerals from Balochistan. Modi declined a White House invitation while in Canada, avoiding a joint appearance with Munir. In August, Modi participated in the Tianjin summit, engaging with Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese President Xi Jinping, signaling India's alternative partnerships. Trump reacted by calling India's economy 'dead,' despite its strong growth as the world's fourth-largest economy.

Trump's National Security Strategy, released in December, suggested a US retreat from Indo-Pacific engagements, favoring a G-2 arrangement with China. India's exports reached an all-time high in November, but the rupee became Asia's worst-performing currency amid trade uncertainties and investor outflows. The opinion piece underscores the need for nimble diplomacy in a multipolar world, where India faces challenges from its geography, democratic practices, and international perceptions.

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US President Donald Trump at the swearing-in of the US Ambassador to India, announcing progress on a US-India trade deal with tariff reductions.
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Trump signals nearing US-India trade deal with tariff cuts

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US President Donald Trump stated on Monday that a trade deal with India is very close, potentially leading to lower tariffs on Indian goods. The remarks came during the swearing-in of Sergio Gor as US Ambassador to India. Trump cited India's reduced Russian oil imports as a reason for the tariff relief.

A trade deal between India and the US was announced following a phone call between US President Donald Trump and Prime Minister Narendra Modi. Under the agreement, US tariffs on Indian exports have been reduced from 50% to 18%. Indian officials confirm the tariff cut, while Trump claims India will stop buying Russian oil and commit to purchasing $500 billion in US goods.

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In the India Today-CVoter Mood of the Nation survey, 45 percent of respondents called for reciprocal tariffs in response to US tariffs. The poll, conducted from December 8, 2025, to January 21, 2026, involved 36,265 people across demographics. India has handled the issue with restraint so far.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi and US President Donald Trump engaged in a warm and engaging phone conversation amid ongoing tariff tensions. The leaders discussed a range of issues, including bilateral trade, energy cooperation, and defence matters. People familiar with the talks shared details with Hindustan Times.

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Former US national security official Lisa Curtis stated that getting India-US bilateral relations back on track is a top priority for both sides. She warned that tensions have escalated due to a lack of expertise around President Trump in his second term, amid trade disputes and disagreements over Pakistan and Kashmir. Curtis discussed these issues in detail on a recent podcast.

An interim trade agreement between India and the US has been finalized, reducing tariffs on Indian exports from 50% to 18%. This move will benefit Indian exporters, particularly in textiles and diamonds. However, India has not confirmed US claims regarding stopping Russian oil purchases.

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Following the US Supreme Court's ruling against President Trump's IEEPA tariffs, his subsequent 15% global tariffs under alternative authority provide India new leverage in US trade talks, potentially aligning with its India-EU FTA ambitions.

 

 

 

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