Pagasa expects tropical cyclone this April

The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (Pagasa) expects a tropical cyclone to form this April, potentially entering the Philippine area of responsibility (PAR) and making landfall, weather specialist Benison Estareja said.

MANILA, Philippines — Based on the latest climatological track for April, a tropical cyclone may enter the Philippine area of responsibility (PAR) and make landfall, Pagasa weather specialist Benison Estareja said on Monday.

If the entry point is low, such as in eastern Mindanao, it could make landfall in Caraga, Visayas or Mimaropa. He added that some tropical cyclones east of Visayas or the Bicol region would hover near Luzon but recurve outside the PAR without landfall, eventually becoming a low-pressure area.

If the cyclone forms, it would be the third one and named Caloy. With the dry season persisting, people can expect rising air temperatures and heat index.

“During dry season, the heat index is higher than 3 to 7 degrees Celsius especially when the weather is humid and we are having a hard time to cool down,” Estareja said. Easterlies and the ridge of a high-pressure area will also be more frequent this month.

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Photorealistic image of Tropical Depression Wilma approaching Eastern Visayas, with stormy clouds, heavy rain, wind-swept palms, and coastal villagers preparing amid rough seas.
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Tropical Depression Wilma nears landfall in Eastern Visayas

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Tropical Depression Wilma edged closer to Eastern Visayas on December 6, 2025, as PAGASA raised Signal No. 1 over 27 areas. It is the 23rd tropical cyclone to enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility this year. The system is forecast to make landfall in Eastern Visayas on Saturday and cross the Visayas until Sunday.

The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) has projected that two to eight tropical cyclones may develop or enter the country from January to June 2026. The forecast indicates relatively low cyclone activity in the first half of the year. This was presented by Ana Liza Solis during the 191st climate forum on Thursday.

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Most parts of the Philippines may face rainy weather this week due to three weather systems, according to the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA).

In a continuation of recent forecasts, the northeast monsoon and easterlies are bringing light rains across the Philippines, with cloudy skies and isolated showers in various regions, PAGASA reported on Dec. 25. No major impacts are expected, though thunderstorms warrant caution.

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PAGASA is not ruling out landfall for Tropical Depression Ada in Eastern Visayas and Bicol, though its track may keep it offshore. It was located 420 kilometers east of Surigao City on January 15, 2026, and could strengthen into a tropical storm that day. Considerable rain is expected in Caraga, Eastern Visayas, and Bicol.

Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal No. 2 remains in effect over four provinces in Luzon as Tropical Storm Ada continues to bring gale-force winds and stormy weather over much of the Bicol Region, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration said yesterday.

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Most parts of the country can expect generally fair weather today as Tropical Depression Ada continues to move away, according to the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration. The Philippine Coast Guard reported one death and 31 rescues from maritime incidents caused by the storm.

 

 

 

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