Presidential camp considers fallback candidates for 2027

Doubting the candidacies of Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal, allies of Emmanuel Macron are considering Jean Castex and Sébastien Lecornu as fallback options for the 2027 presidential election to preserve the president's legacy.

Uncertainty surrounds potential candidacies in the presidential camp for the 2027 election. Some allies of the head of state, concerned about safeguarding his legacy, question the ambitions of Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal. They are turning to figures such as Jean Castex, former Prime Minister and current head of SNCF, or Sébastien Lecornu, the current Prime Minister.

On February 4, at the Hôtel de Matignon, Sébastien Lecornu met with about ten Macronist deputies elected since 2017. During this informal exchange, the 39-year-old Prime Minister was asked about a possible presidential run. He prudently dodged the question. The following week, the same topic was raised by lawmakers from the party's right wing.

Despite his repeated denials – "I don't have the presidential bug like [Michel] Barnier or [François] Bayrou" – the idea of a Lecornu candidacy is gaining traction. The recent passage of the budget without a no-confidence vote bolsters his image as presidential material among supporters. Gabriel Attal, secretary general of Renaissance, remarked: "As soon as you step onto the doorstep of Matignon, you think of the doorstep of the Élysée."

These discussions highlight the strategies underway within the presidential camp amid an uncertain political landscape.

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French President Emmanuel Macron reconducts Sébastien Lecornu as Prime Minister in the Élysée Palace, shaking hands amid efforts to form a new government for the 2026 budget.
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Sébastien Lecornu reconducted as prime minister to form new government

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Emmanuel Macron reconducted Sébastien Lecornu as prime minister on October 10, 2025, four days after his resignation, to form a government focused on passing the 2026 budget. Lecornu promised a 'more free' executive without presidential candidates and open to debates on pension reform. Oppositions, including Les Républicains and the Socialist Party, rejected participation but threaten censure without concessions.

Gabriel Attal, leader of Renaissance, is gearing up to ramp up his campaign for the 2027 presidential election, despite internal criticism of his strategy. He is hosting a non-partisan event on January 27 at the Palais Brongniart in Paris, featuring union leaders, business figures, and civil society representatives. The move aims to broaden his appeal following the municipal elections.

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President Emmanuel Macron and reappointed Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu announced Sunday evening the composition of a new 34-member government, blending civil society figures and moderate political personalities. This team, facing censure threats from the opposition, aims to pass the 2026 budget by year-end. Republicans exclude their members who joined the executive, deepening right-wing internal divisions.

Bruno Retailleau, leader of the Les Républicains party, is poised to enter the race for the 2027 French presidency. After months of hesitation, he has solidified his decision over the holidays, with an announcement expected in days or weeks.

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Emmanuel Macron set a trap for Laurent Wauquiez during the reshuffle leading to the second Lecornu government. Unveiled Sunday evening, this government includes 34 ministers from civil society and politicians with more measured ambitions. This maneuver occurs amid a broader political crisis, marked by divisions within the Republicans and a poll showing shame and anger among the French.

Raphaël Glucksmann's recent TV appearance on LCI has sown doubt among his Parti socialiste supporters. The MEP is navigating a period of strategic silence that draws criticism. Bernard Cazeneuve calls for order on the left to counter the Rassemblement national in 2027.

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Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu announced several measures on Friday evening to amend the 2026 budget project, hoping to secure a compromise with opposition parties and avoid censure. Key announcements include an increase in the activity bonus and the abandonment of unpopular tax reforms. He has given himself until Tuesday to finalize an agreement, without specifying whether he will use Article 49.3 or ordinances.

 

 

 

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