Bruno Retailleau's calculation on welfare challenged by studies

Bruno Retailleau, president of the Republicans, claimed that a couple with two children could receive the equivalent of 1.7 times the minimum wage without working, to denounce welfare dependency. This figure, from a calculation including cash and in-kind benefits, is however contradicted by recent economic studies showing that working at the minimum wage remains more beneficial. In his 'Winning Work' program presented on January 7, he aims to promote employment ahead of a likely candidacy in the 2027 presidential election.

Bruno Retailleau, president of the right-wing Republicans party (LR), launched his precampaign for the 2027 presidential election with a program titled 'Winning Work,' presented on January 7, 2026. He denounces a doctrine that would make inactivity more attractive than work, stating on France Inter on January 8 that a couple with two children could receive 1.7 times the SMIC without employment.

This calculation is based on a technical note from the Republicans, imagining a fictitious household of two adults over 25 without jobs, living in social housing in Tours (Indre-et-Loire). It aggregates all eligible benefits: RSA, family allowances, housing aid, energy voucher, school grants, social tariffs for transport and canteen, as well as optional subsidies like driving licenses or vacations. The total amounts to 2,374 euros per month, or 1.7 SMIC.

However, studies contradict this claim. A document from the French Economic Observatory (OFCE), published in December 2025, concludes that working at the SMIC is 'always more remunerative' than living on social benefits. According to economists Guillaume Allègre and Muriel Pucci, resuming full-time employment generates a net gain of 700 to 1,200 euros per person in disposable income, after deducting lost benefits.

For a couple with two children, benefits would amount to 1,752 euros (0.6 SMIC per person), compared to 2,886 euros if both work at the SMIC, yielding a gain of 835 to 932 euros. 'It is therefore false to claim that social benefits encourage inactivity,' notes Guillaume Allègre.

Critics highlight several flaws: many benefits (transport, family allowances) are available to workers; family benefits stem from natalist policy, independent of employment; and the fictitious household's standard of living remains below the poverty threshold (1,130 euros per consumption unit, versus 1,288 euros nationally). 'No one wants to live with four people at that standard of living,' emphasizes the economist.

Retailleau, former Interior Minister until October 12, 2025, relies on this mantra 'Encourage work, discourage welfare' for his economic proposals, which echo classic right-wing ideas. His close aides urge him to officialize his candidacy before the March municipal elections.

관련 기사

Colombian Labor Minister announces 2026 vital minimum wage dates at press conference, with workers and flag in background.
AI에 의해 생성된 이미지

Government sets Dec 29-30 for 2026 minimum wage announcement with vital wage concept

AI에 의해 보고됨 AI에 의해 생성된 이미지

Following stalled negotiations, Labor Minister Antonio Sanguino confirmed the 2026 minimum wage increase—now incorporating President Gustavo Petro's 'vital minimum wage' for family living costs—will be announced Dec 29-30 and decreed by Dec 31, per ILO standards.

Sociologist Dominique Méda denounces in a chronicle the four failures of Emmanuel Macron's employment policy since 2017. She analyzes Bruno Retailleau's economic program, presented on January 7, as a hardening of this approach without drawing lessons from it. Méda highlights France's employment rate lower than that of European partners.

AI에 의해 보고됨

Serge Papin, the junior minister for Commerce and Purchasing Power, has proposed allowing employees earning less than two times the minimum wage to withdraw up to 2,000 euros from their company savings plans tax-free. The measure aims to boost consumption amid economic gloom. The amount could rise during parliamentary debates.

Bruno Retailleau, leader of the Les Républicains party, is poised to enter the race for the 2027 French presidency. After months of hesitation, he has solidified his decision over the holidays, with an announcement expected in days or weeks.

AI에 의해 보고됨

French Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu has announced the suspension of the 2023 pension reform, deferring discussions on age and contribution duration until after the 2027 presidential election. The move aims to stabilize the budget amid democratic distrust, but it sparks debate on implications for equality and professional inequalities. Experts note that the reform's foundations remain unchanged, while urging fixes for disparities, especially for women and seniors.

North Rhine-Westphalia's Labor Minister Karl-Josef Laumann has sharply criticized his CDU party's wording in the debate over 'lifestyle part-time work.' The CDU deputy chairman calls for more tact and emphasizes that Germans are diligent. He considers the economic wing's proposal unlikely to pass.

AI에 의해 보고됨

In a chronicle published on January 31, 2026, economist Nicolas Baverez portrays France as Europe's Argentina, undermined by demagoguery that impoverishes the middle class and drives the exodus of talents and capital. Wealth per inhabitant fell to 38,110 euros in 2024, ranking the country 34th worldwide and 7% below the EU average for the third consecutive year.

 

 

 

이 웹사이트는 쿠키를 사용합니다

사이트를 개선하기 위해 분석을 위한 쿠키를 사용합니다. 자세한 내용은 개인정보 보호 정책을 읽으세요.
거부