Colombian peso appreciates 12.8 percent so far this year

The Colombian peso has appreciated 12.8 percent so far this year, outpacing regional peers, according to an ANIF report. Flower, coffee and banana sectors face heightened challenges from reduced dollar revenues.

ANIF noted that the appreciation stems from broad dollar weakness against emerging currencies, heightened global risk appetite and the recent rise in oil prices. Locally, improved investor expectations ahead of the August 7 presidential transition drove capital inflows.

The most affected export sectors include flowers, with 92.6 percent of production destined abroad, coffee at 88.3 percent and bananas at 65.7 percent. ANALDEX warned that new United States tariffs could impact up to 30 percent of the country's export basket.

Although imports represent 20.5 percent of GDP and exports 15.1 percent, exporting firms face narrower margins to cover operating costs. The report highlights that the appreciation benefits importers and travelers but reduces revenues for exporters.

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Illustration of Colombian port with shipping containers and tariff overlay symbolizing US export impacts
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New 12.5 percent US tariff affects Colombian exports

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ASOCAPITALES, ANDI and ANALDEX warned that the new 12.5 percent US tariff, effective July 24 2026 and replacing an earlier 10 percent surcharge, will impact nearly 30 percent of Colombian exports to that country, valued at around 5 billion dollars.

The Colombian peso has recorded an appreciation of more than 20 percent against the dollar over the past 12 months, one of the highest in the decade.

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Between May 1 and 15, the Colombian peso recorded a 3.84% depreciation, the largest among 22 emerging currencies. The dollar reached 3,796.78 pesos, driven by purchases from the Finance Ministry and electoral uncertainty.

High interest rates in the region continue to attract capital through carry trade operations, with the Colombian peso and Brazilian real among the top performers.

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Anif warned that the arrival of the El Niño phenomenon in the second half of the year could push inflation in Colombia close to 7%. The think tank pointed to pressures on food and energy as main factors.

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