Mexico's 1944 Treaty Water Debt Tops 50% as Initial Payment Agreed

Following the December 13 agreement with the US to deliver 249 million cubic meters of Rio Grande water, Mexico still owes over 50%—1,170 million cubic meters—of its 2020-2025 obligations under the 1944 Water Treaty, says Water Advisory Council president Raúl Rodríguez. The deal averts Trump's tariff threats, with more payments planned.

Building on the December 13, 2025, bilateral agreement detailed in prior coverage—which commits Mexico to releasing 249.163 million cubic meters starting mid-December to address part of the deficit—Water Advisory Council president Raúl Rodríguez highlighted the scale of Mexico's accumulated debt. In a MILENIO Televisión interview, he stated that for the 2020-2025 cycle, Mexico owes 1,170 million cubic meters out of the required 2,185 million, exceeding 50%.

This follows former President Trump's threats of 5% tariffs, prompting negotiations. Rodríguez noted the initial payment covers 25-30% of the debt within two months, with the rest to be renegotiated for the 2025-2030 period. He assured that sourcing water from international bodies would spare northern Mexico's agricultural producers, minimizing local impacts and stabilizing cross-border relations without commercial escalations.

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Illustration of Mexican and US officials meeting to discuss T-MEC review in Mexico City on May 27.
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Mexico and us to begin formal talks on t-mec review on may 27

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Economy secretary marcelo ebrard announced that committees from mexico and the united states will meet on may 27 in mexico city to start formal conversations on the t-mec review.

Officials announced that water deliveries from the cutzamala system to mexico city and the state of mexico will decrease starting sunday, may 17. The step aims to protect the system's current storage levels.

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On May 22, 2026, Mexico and the European Union signed the Modernized Global Agreement at the National Palace, along with an interim trade deal set to take effect almost immediately.

In the ongoing review of the Mexico-US-Canada Agreement (T-MEC), Mexico's Economy Secretary Marcelo Ebrard highlighted persistent differences with the US, especially on tariffs and rules of origin, as the second round of bilateral talks continues in Mexico City. Mexico pushes for minimal trade barriers, while the US favors more tariffs and stricter rules.

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