The Kenya Meteorological Department predicts higher-than-normal rainfall across Nairobi and 11 other regions from February 25 to March 3, 2026, with moderate to heavy rains peaking in Nairobi February 25-28. Residents should prepare for flooding, poor visibility, and lightning.
The Kenya Meteorological Department has issued a forecast for above-average rainfall in 12 regions, including Nairobi (Highlands East of the Rift Valley), from February 25 to March 3, 2026. Moderate to heavy rains are expected to peak in Nairobi between February 25 and 28, gradually decreasing from March 1 in southeastern lowlands, coastal areas, and eastern Rift Valley highlands.
Affected areas include Western Kenya, Lake Victoria Basin, Rift Valley, Central Highlands, parts of Eastern Kenya, and the Coast. Key counties: Migori, Nyamira, Bungoma, Busia, Kakamega, Vihiga, West Pokot, Baringo, Elgeyo Marakwet, Trans Nzoia, Nandi, Uasin Gishu, Nakuru, Siaya, Kisumu, Homa Bay, Kisii, Kericho, Bomet, Kiambu, Embu, Murang'a, Kirinyaga, Nyandarua, Nyeri, Laikipia, Tharaka-Nithi, Meru, Nairobi, Narok, Kajiado, Makueni, Machakos, Taita-Taveta, Kitui, Kwale, Mombasa, Tana River, Kilifi, and parts of Isiolo, Marsabit, Garissa.
Heavy rainfall exceeding 20mm in 24 hours may persist in Lake Victoria Basin and western Rift Valley highlands until March 3, with temperatures ranging from 12°C to 30°C.
Residents are advised to watch for flash floods, flooding in downstream areas even without local heavy rain, poor visibility, and lightning. This follows recent unpredictable rains disrupting Nairobi's daily activities.