Nairobi heavy rains to ease from March 10 amid ongoing flood risks

Following peak downpours from March 4-7 that caused significant damage, the Kenya Meteorological Department forecasts reduced rainfall intensity in Nairobi from March 10, though high flooding risks persist due to saturated soils.

Heavy rainfall will continue until Monday evening across Nairobi, easing in intensity from Tuesday, March 10. Moderate to heavy showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected in several metropolitan counties over the next 24 hours, building on earlier above-average rains since late February.

Rainfall peaked between March 4 and 7, causing massive property destruction and over 43 deaths in Nairobi from recent floods. Across 16 counties, impacts include millions in losses, thousands of affected households, 4,845 displaced people, and over 20,800 acres of destroyed farmland, threatening food security.

Forecast areas include Nairobi City County (heavier in Embakasi South, Kibra, Makadara, Kamukunji, Roysambu, Westlands, Dagoretti, Kasarani, afternoons/evenings), Kiambu (Gatundu, Thika, Juja, Ruiru, Limuru, Kikuyu, Kabete, Githunguri), northern/western/central Kajiado, and parts of Machakos (Kathiani, Machakos Town, Yatta).

Flooding risks remain elevated from prolonged wet conditions. Residents should avoid low-lying areas, monitor updates, as emergency teams like Kenya Red Cross continue response efforts.

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KDF soldiers rescuing families from Nairobi floods, distributing aid amid heavy rain.
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President Ruto orders KDF to address Nairobi floods

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President William Ruto has ordered the deployment of Kenya Defence Forces and an emergency response team to speed up rescue and relief efforts after devastating floods that have caused deaths and displaced families in Nairobi. The National Police Service reports a death toll of 23, while the Kenya Meteorological Department warns of continued rains until March 9. The government has promised to release food reserves and cover medical bills for affected victims.

The Kenya Meteorological Department predicts higher-than-normal rainfall across Nairobi and 11 other regions from February 25 to March 3, 2026, with moderate to heavy rains peaking in Nairobi February 25-28. Residents should prepare for flooding, poor visibility, and lightning.

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Kenya's Meteorological Department has announced that Nairobi County and western Kenya regions are set to experience heavy rainfall accompanied by thunderstorms this weekend. The downpours are forecast to begin on the night of Friday, February 27, 2026, and continue through March 3. Over 40 counties have been placed on alert due to risks of flooding and impassable roads.

Kenya's Meteorological Department has warned farmers that April rains will be significantly suppressed in the first two weeks before improving later. Farmers risk crop failure if they plant too early this month, according to the department's Monthly Agrometeorological Bulletin for April 2026, released on April 4. The agency advises aligning planting with the improving rains.

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The Water Resources Authority has ordered residents of six Nairobi estates near the Nairobi Dam to evacuate immediately amid ongoing heavy rains. The dam in Kibera risks breaching its embankments, posing flood threats downstream. Other areas have been placed on high alert.

A report from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center states that the rains marking early 2026 in Colombia will continue at least until April, driven by La Niña's shift to a neutral phase. Experts warn of precipitation 41.6% more intense than in March 2025, per Ideam. In the second half of the year, there is a 50-60% chance of El Niño returning, potentially decreasing rains and raising temperatures.

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Heavy rains pounding Jakarta and surrounding areas since Saturday night until Sunday morning, March 8, 2026, have caused flooding in 75 RTs and 19 roads in West, South, and East Jakarta. Water levels reached up to 1.7 meters in some spots, forcing residents to evacuate and disrupting road access. The DKI Jakarta BPBD has deployed personnel for evacuations and flood mitigation.

 

 

 

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