Following peak downpours from March 4-7 that caused significant damage, the Kenya Meteorological Department forecasts reduced rainfall intensity in Nairobi from March 10, though high flooding risks persist due to saturated soils.
Heavy rainfall will continue until Monday evening across Nairobi, easing in intensity from Tuesday, March 10. Moderate to heavy showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected in several metropolitan counties over the next 24 hours, building on earlier above-average rains since late February.
Rainfall peaked between March 4 and 7, causing massive property destruction and over 43 deaths in Nairobi from recent floods. Across 16 counties, impacts include millions in losses, thousands of affected households, 4,845 displaced people, and over 20,800 acres of destroyed farmland, threatening food security.
Forecast areas include Nairobi City County (heavier in Embakasi South, Kibra, Makadara, Kamukunji, Roysambu, Westlands, Dagoretti, Kasarani, afternoons/evenings), Kiambu (Gatundu, Thika, Juja, Ruiru, Limuru, Kikuyu, Kabete, Githunguri), northern/western/central Kajiado, and parts of Machakos (Kathiani, Machakos Town, Yatta).
Flooding risks remain elevated from prolonged wet conditions. Residents should avoid low-lying areas, monitor updates, as emergency teams like Kenya Red Cross continue response efforts.