NBA approves 3-2-1 draft lottery reform to curb tanking

The NBA board of governors approved a new draft lottery system on Thursday by a 29-1 vote. The changes, known as the 3-2-1 model, will take effect with next year's draft. The reform aims to reduce incentives for teams to lose games intentionally.

The new rules allocate 37 lottery balls among 16 teams. The three worst teams receive two balls each, the next seven non-playoff teams get three, the No. 9 and No. 10 seeds receive two, and play-in losers get one. All 16 lottery picks will be drawn, with the three worst teams unable to fall below No. 12. Teams cannot select No. 1 in consecutive drafts or land in the top five of three straight drafts, rules that apply retroactively from the 2025 draft.

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Dramatic illustration of the 2026 NBA Draft Lottery featuring the Wizards, Pacers, and Nets with 14% top-pick odds during the Chicago drawing.
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2026 NBA Draft Lottery odds favor Wizards, Pacers and Nets

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The 2026 NBA Draft Lottery is scheduled for Sunday at 3 p.m. ET in Chicago. The Washington Wizards, Indiana Pacers and Brooklyn Nets each hold a 14 percent chance of securing the top pick. The drawing will determine the order for the top four selections ahead of the June 23-24 draft.

The NBA board of governors voted Thursday to flatten draft lottery odds starting with the 2027 draft. The changes include a 3-2-1 system using 37 balls for 16 teams and will expire after three years. League officials are already eyeing a possible draft credit system to replace the lottery entirely by 2030.

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The 2026 NBA Draft Lottery is set for Sunday, offering 13 teams a shot at the top pick in a highly talented class. Several clubs stand to gain the most from a favorable outcome ahead of upcoming draft reforms.

The Pittsburgh Steelers will enter a lottery to determine their selection spot in the NFL supplemental draft next month. Their placement depends on a new three-category system based on 2025 performance.

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Speculation is mounting ahead of the NBA draft lottery as teams evaluate top prospects including AJ Dybantsa, Cameron Boozer and Caleb Wilson. Analysts point to Dybantsa as the likely No. 1 pick while noting possible surprises in the top three selections.

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