Rupiah weakens as government prepares special policies for Aceh and Sumatra recovery

The rupiah exchange rate against the US dollar weakened slightly in Monday morning trading, as the government prepares special economic policy packages for recovery in Aceh, North Sumatra, and West Sumatra post-disaster. These policies align with President Prabowo Subianto's directives and are expected to be announced next week. The stimulus packages aim to maintain economic stability in the affected areas.

At 09:06 WIB on Monday, December 15, 2025, the rupiah traded at Rp16,651 per US dollar in the spot market, weakening by 5 points or 0.03 percent from the previous level of Rp16,646. Meanwhile, according to BI's Jisdor data on Friday, December 12, 2025, the rupiah rate stood at Rp16,652, strengthening 16 points from Rp16,668 on the previous Thursday.

Economist Ibrahim Assuaibi stated that the government is preparing special economic policies for post-disaster recovery in Aceh, North Sumatra, and West Sumatra. This initiative follows directives from President Prabowo Subianto. Among the prepared packages are write-offs and restructuring for Kredit Usaha Rakyat (KUR) debtors to prevent increases in credit guarantee claims. The Financial Services Authority (OJK) will issue supporting regulations.

Additionally, relief measures for affected workers and companies include waiving BPJS Ketenagakerjaan contribution debts and fines. The claims process is being streamlined for benefits such as Old Age Security (JHT), Death Benefit (JKM), Work Accident Benefit (JKK), and Pension Benefit (JP). The official announcement of these policy packages is scheduled for next week, with stimuli expected to boost local economic recovery.

Assuaibi predicted the rupiah would fluctuate but trend weaker in the range of Rp16,640 to Rp16,700. External factors, such as the rise in US initial jobless claims to 236,000 for the week ending December 6, also contributed to the dollar's weakening.

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Busy Jakarta traders react to rupiah weakening 28 points to Rp16,847/USD amid market volatility and analyst predictions.
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Rupiah weakens 28 points at Monday's market opening

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The rupiah exchange rate against the US dollar weakened by 28 points or 0.17 percent to Rp16,847 per dollar at the opening of trading in Jakarta on Monday (January 12, 2026). Analysts predict further fluctuations, with one side seeing potential strengthening due to the investigation into Fed Chair Jerome Powell, while others warn of ongoing weakening due to global geopolitics.

The rupiah exchange rate against the US dollar weakened at the market open in Jakarta on Thursday (January 29, 2026), reaching around Rp16,752-Rp16,771 per dollar. This decline occurred despite issues of US government intervention in the Federal Reserve and positive market response to continued domestic stimulus programs. Analysts predict limited strengthening potential due to global and domestic factors.

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The rupiah exchange rate against the US dollar weakened at the opening of trading on Tuesday (January 20, 2026) to around Rp16,977-Rp16,985 per US dollar. Analysts predict limited strengthening potential due to fiscal pressures and awaiting the Bank Indonesia meeting. Concerns over the budget deficit nearing the 3 percent limit add to currency volatility.

The rupiah exchange rate against the US dollar strengthened at the opening of trading on Tuesday morning, February 3, 2026, reaching around Rp16.762 per dollar, up 36 points or 0.21 percent from the previous day. This strengthening was influenced by the release of data from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) recording Indonesia's trade surplus for 2025 at US$41.05 billion. Additionally, January 2026 monthly inflation recorded a deflation of 0.15 percent, although annually it reached 3.55 percent.

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The rupiah exchange rate against the US dollar weakened 0.05 percent to Rp16,790 per dollar at the opening of trading on Tuesday, January 27, 2026. The Composite Stock Price Index (IHSG) also opened down 0.31 percent at 8,947, though it is predicted to potentially strengthen if it holds the support level. This movement is influenced by geopolitical tensions between the US and Canada regarding trade with China.

Continuing its depreciation trend since breaching 90 in late 2025, the Indian rupee fell 14 paise to 92.42 against the US dollar in early trade on Tuesday, March 17, 2026. Rising crude oil prices, foreign fund outflows linked to the West Asia crisis, subdued domestic equities, and a stronger dollar weighed on the currency, as traders awaited the US Federal Reserve's interest rate decision.

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Escalation of conflict between the US, Israel, and Iran in the Middle East has driven global oil prices above US$100 per barrel, weakening the rupiah to Rp17,000 and sharply dropping the IHSG. The Indonesian government asserts the domestic economy remains in expansion despite risks of inflation and layoffs. Energy Minister Bahlil Lahadalia guarantees no increase in subsidized fuel prices until Eid.

 

 

 

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