Experts mostly predict no Giannis trade before deadline

As the 2026 NBA trade deadline approaches on Thursday, speculation swirls around Milwaukee Bucks star Giannis Antetokounmpo, with teams like the Heat, Knicks, Timberwolves, Warriors and Cavaliers showing interest. Antetokounmpo has expressed love for Milwaukee and a desire to finish his career there, but emphasized his need to compete for championships. CBS Sports experts largely predict the Bucks will retain him for now, citing better summer offers.

The 2026 NBA trade deadline, set for 3 p.m. ET on Thursday, February 5, has been dominated by rumors of a potential deal for two-time MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo. The Bucks have been surveying the market amid ongoing intel, but Antetokounmpo remains torn. In an emotional interview with the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel on Tuesday, he stated, "What I want deep down in my heart is I want to be a Milwaukee Buck for the rest of my career and win here." He highlighted personal ties, noting his father is buried in Milwaukee and his children were born there.

Antetokounmpo reiterated his commitment in a phone interview with The Athletic, saying, "I want to be here, but I want to be here to win, not fighting for my life to make the playoffs." Despite the Bucks' 19-29 record and 12th-place standing in the East, he affirmed he would stay if convinced of future contention: "If they can convince me to stay... Oh yeah, 1,000 percent."

CBS Sports experts weighed in with final predictions. Six of seven forecasted no trade this week, arguing for better summer leverage. Brad Botkin noted, "The summer is probably a better time for the Bucks," citing potential lottery picks and expanded suitors post-playoffs. John Gonzalez echoed, "The Bucks can likely get more if they just wait until the summer." Only James Herbert predicted yes, betting on suitors' aggressiveness: "There just has to be one team that comes to the table with the kind of offer the Bucks would accept."

Other deadline moves, like James Harden to the Cavaliers and Jaren Jackson Jr. to the Jazz, have heightened chaos, but insiders like ESPN's Brian Windhorst see limited momentum for a Giannis deal. A framework must emerge by midnight Wednesday, per Bobby Marks, or it likely waits until summer. For Milwaukee, retaining Antetokounmpo preserves options amid three offseason picks, while a trade could reshape the East.

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