The Memphis Grizzlies face the Philadelphia 76ers in a cross-conference NBA matchup on December 30, 2025, at FedExForum in Memphis. With the Sixers on a three-game losing streak and center Joel Embiid questionable due to knee and ankle issues, the Grizzlies enter as slight 1-point road favorites. A projection model forecasts the game total to exceed 234.5 points.
The 2025-26 NBA season continues with the Memphis Grizzlies (15-17) hosting the Philadelphia 76ers (16-14) to open Tuesday's schedule. Tipoff is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET at FedExForum. The Grizzlies have momentum, winning two of their last three games, while the Sixers aim to snap a three-game skid.
Philadelphia's star center Joel Embiid is listed as questionable with knee and ankle concerns, which could impact their performance significantly. Betting lines list Memphis as a 1-point favorite despite playing at home, with the over/under set at 234.5 points. The money line stands at 76ers -111 and Grizzlies -107.
The SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, has a strong track record, returning over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on top-rated picks over the past eight-plus seasons. Entering Week 11, it is on a 32-14 roll on top-rated spread picks since last season.
For this matchup, the model projects 235 combined points after 10,000 simulations, leaning over the 234.5 total as it hits in more than 50% of scenarios. It also identifies one side of the spread hitting nearly 60% of the time, though specifics require checking the full analysis. The game streams on Peacock.
This contest highlights contrasting recent forms, with Memphis seeking to build on its wins and Philadelphia hoping to rebound amid injury uncertainties.