Timberwolves favored against Blazers in late NBA matchup

The Minnesota Timberwolves face the Portland Trail Blazers on Tuesday, February 24, 2026, at the Moda Center. Minnesota enters as a 6.5-point favorite with an over/under of 235.5 points. A projection model predicts the game will exceed that total.

The matchup tips off at 10 p.m. ET in Portland, streaming on Peacock. The Timberwolves, with a 35-23 record and 15-12 on the road, recently lost 135-108 to the Philadelphia 76ers. They have won eight of their last 10 games straight up and covered the spread in six of those.

The Trail Blazers, at 28-30 overall and 16-14 at home, defeated the Phoenix Suns in their previous outing. However, they have struggled lately, winning only two of their last 10 games and covering in four.

According to DraftKings Sportsbook, the money line lists Minnesota at -265 and Portland at +215. The SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates games 10,000 times, has a strong track record, returning over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on top NBA picks over eight-plus seasons. It is currently on a 38-18 roll on top-rated spread picks since last season.

The model forecasts an over on the 235.5 total, noting that the over has hit in six of the Timberwolves' last seven road games against the Blazers. Minnesota is also 8-2 straight up in its last 10 against Portland. Projections show Anthony Edwards averaging 27.6 points for the Timberwolves, with seven players scoring 11.5 or more. For the Blazers, Jerami Grant is expected to average 17.9 points, with four players at 13.9 or more. The teams are projected to combine for 238 points, with the over hitting in 52% of simulations.

The model indicates one side of the spread hits over 50% of the time, though specific picks require visiting SportsLine.

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