2025 confirmed as second-hottest year on record

The World Meteorological Organization has declared 2025 the second-hottest year globally, with temperatures averaging 1.47°C above pre-industrial levels. This marks a concerning milestone, as it surpasses previous records despite a cooling La Niña pattern. The past 11 years now represent the warmest in recorded history.

The announcement from the World Meteorological Organization underscores the accelerating pace of global warming. In 2025, average temperatures reached 1.47°C above pre-industrial baselines, surpassed only by the record set in 2024. This development is particularly alarming because it occurred amid a La Niña phase, a natural oceanic pattern in the Pacific that typically moderates global heat but failed to do so this time.

Over the last 176 years of temperature records, the 11 most recent years—from 2015 to 2025—stand as the hottest. Climate scientist James Hansen has noted that warming is accelerating at 0.31°C per decade, forecasting that temperatures could exceed 1.7°C by 2027. For the first time, the three-year average from 2023 to 2025 has topped the 1.5°C threshold established by the Paris Agreement, a limit scientists deem essential to avert severe, irreversible climate impacts for current generations.

Contributing factors include rising atmospheric CO₂ levels, which hit 423.9 parts per million in 2024—53% above pre-industrial concentrations. Extreme weather events have intensified accordingly: heat waves are now ten times more likely than a decade ago, Arctic sea ice recorded its lowest winter maximum ever, wildfires ravaged Greece and Turkey, and typhoons prompted mass evacuations in Southeast Asia.

WMO Secretary-General Celeste Saulo warned, “Each year above 1.5 degrees will hammer economies, deepen inequalities and inflict irreversible damage.” Despite this, political responses lag; the United States under the Trump administration is reportedly suppressing climate data and rolling back clean energy initiatives in favor of coal, oil, and gas. Meanwhile, the recent COP30 summit concluded without a firm commitment to phase out fossil fuels, highlighting ongoing tensions between science and policy.

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Realistic illustration of São Paulo breaking heat record at 36.9°C amid ongoing heat wave, with city skyline, sweating residents, and red alert signage.
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São Paulo December 2025 Heat Wave: Capital Breaks Record Again at 36.9°C on Dec 28

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Continuing the intense heat wave, São Paulo hit 36.9°C on Sunday (Dec 28)—eclipsing the Dec 26 record and the hottest of 2025—while Pedro de Toledo reached 42.1°C. With health risks rising and reservoirs strained, Inmet's red alert persists until Dec 29, but storms loom starting Monday.

A new report by climate scientists and financial experts cautions that the world has underestimated the pace of global warming, potentially leading to trillions in economic losses by 2050. Governments and businesses are urged to prepare for worst-case scenarios amid accelerating temperature rises. Recent data shows 2025 as the third-warmest year on record, pushing closer to breaching the 1.5°C Paris Agreement threshold sooner than anticipated.

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Earth's oceans reached their highest heat levels on record in 2025, absorbing 23 zetta joules of excess energy. This milestone, confirmed by an international team of scientists, underscores the accelerating impact of climate change. The warming trend, building since the 1990s, fuels stronger storms and rising sea levels worldwide.

As 2025 closed, renewable energy overtook coal globally and the Global South—led by India—deepened climate commitments at COP30, offsetting US retreat under Trump and building on momentum from China and Africa.

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Much of South Africa is forecast to see above-normal rainfall and fewer hot days in 2026, driven by weak La Niña conditions. This shift could benefit agriculture but heightens flood risks in interior provinces. Recent wet weather has already caused deaths and damage in KwaZulu-Natal and Gauteng.

Spain's 2025 summer wildfires, which razed 400,000 hectares, rank among the world's most devastating climate disasters of the year, according to Christian Aid's annual review. This event continues a pattern of severe climate impacts placing Spain in international vulnerability rankings. Experts link these disasters to the continued expansion of fossil fuels and political delays in climate action.

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Following initial coverage of accelerated global glacier losses projected by ETH Zurich researchers, the full study—published December 15, 2025, in *Nature Climate Change*—reveals precise disappearance timelines for Earth's ~211,000 glaciers. Limiting warming to 1.5°C preserves ~100,000 by 2100 (versus 18,000 at 4°C), with 'Peak Glacier Extinction' hitting 2,000 glaciers lost in 2041 under low warming or 4,000 in 2055 at high levels.

 

 

 

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