Coparmex warns of rising tax burden on companies in states

The Mexican Employers' Confederation (Coparmex) has warned that 31 out of 32 states plan tax increases or new levies in their economic packages for the coming year. This could hinder the growth of micro, small, and medium-sized enterprises and undermine national competitiveness. The business group calls for greater transparency and efficiency in public spending before implementing such measures.

Coparmex conducted an analysis of state economic packages for 2026, drawing from a survey of its 71 business centers across the 32 entities. It found that 31 states propose increases to various taxes or the introduction of new levies, threatening investment attraction amid nearshoring and the T-MEC review in 2026.

Juan José Sierra Álvarez, president of Coparmex, stated: “Increases in state taxes—particularly the Payroll Tax (ISN)—are weakening regional competitiveness and stalling the growth of MSMEs, as well as medium and large companies operating in highly competitive markets, where the tax burden could determine investment decisions between states or even against other countries”.

Currently, 27 entities maintain ISN rates at or below 3%, a threshold Coparmex deems essential for competition. Direct ISN hikes were identified in Baja California Sur, Campeche, Chihuahua, Colima, Nuevo León, and Yucatán, with adjustments from 2% to 3% or 3% to 4%. In other states such as Guanajuato, Guerrero, Hidalgo, Jalisco, Mexico State, Morelos, Oaxaca, Quintana Roo, Sinaloa, and Veracruz, alternatives included new taxes, property tax adjustments, or higher administrative burdens.

“This levy directly impacts formal hiring and companies' ability to sustain their workforce,” warned Sierra Álvarez. The business leader criticized the absence of prior assessments on public spending efficiency and called for prioritizing quality services, infrastructure, and transparency to expand the taxpayer base without overburdening formal job creators.

States aim to offset reduced federal transfers and take on new responsibilities, but companies already face heightened scrutiny and indirect costs like security and health.

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Colombian business leaders protesting outside the Constitutional Court, petitioning to block the government's economic emergency decree amid stability concerns.
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Business groups petition Constitutional Court to block Colombia's economic emergency decree

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Following Finance Minister Germán Ávila's announcement of an economic emergency to raise 16 trillion pesos for the 2026 budget, major Colombian business associations including Fenalco, Andi, and the National Business Council have urged the Constitutional Court to review and potentially suspend the measure, arguing it fails constitutional tests amid concerns over economic stability.

Alejandro Werner, director of the Georgetown Americas Institute, warned that Mexico will achieve a favorable T-MEC negotiation with the United States, but in a context of institutional weakness due to unilateral US tariff decisions. He recommended that the Mexican government focus its growth strategy on internal reforms such as competition, deregulation, and education. He also projected that inflation will not drop below 4% in the coming years due to wage pressures.

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Following Senate approval of tariffs on over 1,400 Asian products amid USMCA review tensions, Mexico published a decree on December 29, 2025, in the Official Gazette detailing 5% to 50% duties on imports from non-free trade agreement countries like China, effective January 1, 2026. Affecting goods such as clothing, toys, shampoo, and auto parts, the measures aim to protect domestic industry and generate 70 billion pesos in revenue with minimal 0.2% inflation impact.

Finance Minister Germán Ávila announced the declaration of an economic emergency following the failure of the tax reform, aiming to fund $16 trillion for the 2026 National General Budget. The draft decree includes taxes on assets, alcohol, cigarettes, and a special levy on hydrocarbons and coal. Business guilds such as Andi, ACM, and ACP question its constitutionality and effectiveness.

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Following the December 2025 decree imposing 5-50% tariffs on non-FTA imports, Mexico's measures particularly target the automotive sector, hiking duties on light vehicles to 50% and parts up to 50%. While aiming to protect national industry and generate over 70 billion pesos in revenue, the policy draws criticism for slowing Chinese EV tech adoption, though brands remain bullish on Mexico's market thanks to local plants.

Jaime Alberto Cabal, president of Fenalco, filed a lawsuit with the State Council to temporarily strike down the decree raising the minimum wage by 23% this year. He argues the measure lacks technical backing and violates the legal framework. He warns it could lead to the loss of 772,340 jobs and the closure of numerous small and medium enterprises.

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The T-MEC review poses major hurdles for Mexico, as the US prioritizes national security over commercial efficiency. Analysts highlight Mexico's vulnerability in bilateral talks and shifting strategic perceptions. Mexico's low 0.7% economic growth in 2025 worsens its position.

 

 

 

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