France's state deficit drops 20% in 2025 due to strong tax revenues

The French state recorded a deficit of 125 billion euros in 2025, a 31.6 billion drop from 2024, thanks to robust tax revenues, Bercy announced on February 3. This improvement, the strongest since 2020, still hides ongoing debt pressures. Public spending remained steady, while revenues exceeded forecasts.

The Ministry of Economy and Finance released the state's accounts for 2025 on Tuesday, February 3. According to the data, the state spent 124.7 billion euros more than its revenues, a gap filled by increasingly large and expensive loans. For every 100 euros entering the coffers, 131 euros went out to fund education, security, defense, health, and debt interest.

This marks a significant improvement: the deficit fell by 31.6 billion euros, or 20%, from 2024. Amélie de Montchalin, Minister of Public Accounts, hailed it as "the strongest annual drop in the deficit to finance observed since 2020." Tax revenues drove this performance, despite some fraud or leakage incidents. After two years of major budget overruns, the tax administration operated efficiently, meeting—and even slightly beating—targets.

Spending, however, barely changed, highlighting ongoing challenges in controlling outflows. Though the deficit remains substantial, this reduction provides temporary relief amid rising public debt.

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French Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu presents the 2026 budget with tax hikes and spending cuts in a press conference at the National Assembly.
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French government unveils 2026 budget with tax hikes and spending cuts

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On October 14, 2025, Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu presented the 2026 finance bill, aiming to cut the public deficit to 4.7% of GDP through €14 billion in extra tax revenues and €17 billion in spending savings. The budget targets high earners, businesses, and social expenditures, while drawing criticism over its feasibility.

The 2026 finance bill was passed using Article 49.3 of the Constitution, despite the Prime Minister's initial promise against it. The public deficit is projected at 5% of GDP, down from 5.4% in 2025, exceeding 150 billion euros overall. This amounts to an average of 3614 euros per one of the 41.5 million fiscal households.

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On Friday, December 19, the Insee announced that France's public debt now stands at 3,482 billion euros, or 117.4% of GDP, a record level outside times of war or pandemic. This increase of 65.9 billion euros over three months highlights a worrying trajectory, with analysts warning of a potential market crisis if no correction occurs.

France's 2026 finance law concludes with a fragile compromise, criticized as a list of renunciations amid demographic, climate challenges and an unsustainable debt. Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu announced on January 16 a lackluster deal, where each party claims small victories amid widespread frustration.

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The French Senate adopted a revised version of the 2026 finance bill on Monday, December 15, by 187 votes to 109. This copy, favoring spending cuts over tax increases, will serve as the basis for discussions in the joint committee on Friday. Negotiations look challenging amid divergences between the two chambers.

Deputies adopted the 'revenues' part of the 2026 social security budget on Saturday, November 8, by 176 votes to 161 with 58 abstentions. This narrow vote allows debates to continue on the 'expenditures' part, which includes suspending the 2023 pension reform. Discussions will run until Wednesday, interrupted by the Armistice on November 11.

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Former Economy Minister Hernán Lacunza praised improvements in public accounts for 2024 and 2025 but warned that by the end of 2025, the fiscal situation lacks room for additional maneuvers. His analysis shows an official surplus of 0.2% of GDP, though adjustments for interest and inflation reveal larger deficits. Lacunza stressed that the end of the financial normalization process will demand greater savings efforts.

 

 

 

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