Trading floor at Bombay Stock Exchange showing screens with Indian rupee's 9.9% FY26 decline, Asia's worst, amid oil surge and stock drops.
Trading floor at Bombay Stock Exchange showing screens with Indian rupee's 9.9% FY26 decline, Asia's worst, amid oil surge and stock drops.
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Indian rupee ends FY26 as Asia's worst performer with 9.9% decline

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The Indian rupee depreciated by 9.88% against the US dollar in FY26, marking it as Asia's weakest currency amid record foreign investor outflows and surging oil prices. The Reserve Bank of India intervened to stabilize the currency, while domestic funds provided a record cushion against the exits. Equity indices like Nifty and Sensex recorded their worst fiscal performance since FY20.

Foreign institutional investors withdrew a record ₹1.6 lakh crore from Indian equities during FY26, the highest ever, driven by strong global demand for the US dollar and challenges from global events including the West Asia conflict. This exodus contributed to the rupee's sharp 9.88% slide, making it Asia's worst performer, ahead of the Japanese yen's decline. The Malaysian ringgit, by contrast, topped Asian currencies with gains, according to The Economic Times reports on FY26 data. Domestic institutional investors countered with record inflows of ₹8.5 lakh crore, offering support to markets battered by currency depreciation and elevated oil prices from the Iran-related tensions in West Asia. Indian equity benchmarks Nifty and Sensex ended the fiscal year with losses, their poorest showing since FY20. Analysts note that central bank measures provided only temporary relief, with market pricing indicating potential further rupee weakness. Elevated oil prices risk worsening India's inflation and current-account deficit. Looking to FY27, the outlook hinges on the West Asia conflict; a ceasefire could spur recovery in crude prices, the rupee, and equities, analysts suggest.

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X discussions criticize the Indian rupee's nearly 10% depreciation in FY26, labeling it Asia's worst performer due to record FII outflows, surging oil prices, and external shocks. Users tag officials for accountability, question policy effectiveness, note RBI interventions and DII support as cushions, and express skepticism on future stability amid predictions of further weakening to 100/USD. Sentiments are predominantly negative with some neutral analyses highlighting economic resilience.

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Illustration of Indian markets declining due to geopolitical tensions with Iran, showing traders and falling financial indicators.
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Indian markets and rupee decline as Trump signals end of Iran truce

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Indian stocks and the rupee fell sharply on Wednesday after US President Donald Trump signaled the end of a truce with Iran. Fresh US strikes on Iran and rising oil prices triggered the selloff. Gold and silver prices also extended losses in Mumbai trading.

Continuing its sharp FY26 depreciation—after breaching 94 in late March—the Indian rupee fell to a fresh record low of 95.28 against the US dollar on Tuesday, May 5. Oil prices exceeding $110 a barrel have intensified inflation and balance-of-payments worries, prompting Reserve Bank of India interventions amid curbs on foreign exchange positions.

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The Indian rupee continues to weaken against the US dollar. On Tuesday, it hovered around 95.36 in early trading. Since the beginning of this year, the currency has fallen by around 5.64 per cent.

Foreign inflows into Indian government securities have begun to slow following a strong June increase tied to index inclusion hopes. Narrowing yield spreads with the US and concerns about the rupee are key factors behind the shift.

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The Reserve Bank of India's steps to increase dollar inflows aim to stabilize the rupee in the short term. Economists caution that these actions provide only temporary relief and do not address underlying pressures.

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