Trading volume by natural persons on BVC grew 60% in 2025

The general manager of the Bolsa de Valores de Colombia (BVC), Andrés Restrepo, highlighted the 60% growth in trading volume by natural persons during 2025, amid a recovery in market liquidity. Restrepo also warned about the low investment level in the country, below 17% of GDP, which compromises future job and production generation.

In a recent interview, Andrés Restrepo, general manager of the BVC, analyzed the positive performance of the Colombian stock market in 2025. The Colcap index rose nearly 50%, surpassing international benchmarks like the S&P and Nasdaq. This rebound was partly due to the correction of undervaluations in local companies, which showed resilience against high interest rates, the pandemic, and low economic growth.

Liquidity in the stock exchange recovered significantly, increasing from 70 billion pesos daily in 2023 to 150 billion in 2025. Of this total, 40 billion came from natural persons, up 60%; foreigners contributed 79 billion, a 50% increase; and own positions by brokerage firms exceeded 50 billion. Restrepo noted that this encourages new investors, with growing interest in foreign issuers in the Colombian global market.

Regarding the electoral context, Restrepo said elections create volatility, but the BVC rose 2.31% after the legislative elections, indicating a positive reaction. He emphasized institutional values and democracy as key for long-term investors.

Despite these gains, Restrepo warned of the complicated fiscal situation, which raises financing costs, and the low investment level below 17% of GDP. Colombia still appears cheap in multiples like price-earnings compared to regional peers. On stock exchange integration with Peru and Chile, progress is being made on a new technological platform, with launch imminent in Colombia in the next two or three months, followed by unified post-trading.

The BVC projects attracting five to six new issuers in fixed and variable income.

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Realistic illustration of Colombia's 2025 GDP growth at 2.6%, featuring cultural events, consumption, and a growth chart below expectations amid declining investment.
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Colombia's gdp growth in 2025 reached 2.6%

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The National Administrative Department of Statistics (Dane) reported that Colombia's economy grew 2.6% in 2025, below expectations of 2.8%. In the fourth quarter, GDP expanded 2.3%, driven by household consumption, the public sector, and cultural activities like concerts. Investment fell 2.9%, the lowest level in two decades.

Fedesarrollo and BVC's Financial Opinion Survey showed Ecopetrol's ordinary share and Cibest's shares as the most sought-after by analysts in April, with 41.7% selections. Analysts expect the intervention rate to range from 11.7% to 12% through July. They also foresee appreciation in the MSCI Colcap index over the next three months.

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Ecopetrol's stock dropped 4.09% to close at $2,580 on the Bolsa de Valores de Colombia (BVC), with its ADR falling 4.01% to US$14.12. The decline followed a plunge in oil prices after a two-week ceasefire agreement between the United States and Iran. It comes alongside the board's decision for a temporary exit of president Ricardo Roa.

Colombia has seen a sharp drop in the manufacturing industry's share of its GDP, from 16% in 2005 to 9.9% in 2025. This structural decline is accompanied by relative growth in the agricultural sector, signaling reprimarization. Neighboring countries like Mexico and Brazil have maintained more stable industrial bases.

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The Ministry of Finance published the Financial Plan for 2026, projecting 2.6% GDP growth and 5.8% inflation. The document estimates an average dollar rate of $3,801 and Brent barrel at US$59.2, though analysts warn of calculation errors and lack of concrete measures for fiscal cuts. The publication was delayed by more than a month compared to previous years.

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