Strait of Hormuz crisis: WTI crude falls below $100 as US-Iran talks resume

In the ongoing Strait of Hormuz crisis, crude oil prices fell below $100 a barrel following announcements that US-Iran talks will resume on Thursday—easing some geopolitical risk after last week's US naval blockade. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude spiked to $105 at the Globex open before correcting to around $98, amid persistent supply disruptions.

Energy markets showed sharp volatility at the week's open amid the Strait of Hormuz crisis, now in its fourth week since Iran's initial blockade and the US Navy's response after failed ceasefire talks. WTI crude gapped to $105 before dropping below $100 to settle around $98, as traders reacted to news of US-Iran negotiations resuming Thursday. This eased part of the geopolitical risk premium that had propelled prices above $100 following the escalations reported last weekend.

Despite the dialogue, analysts from Seeking Alpha and The Economic Times warn of lingering uncertainty, with a naval standoff, supply constraints in the strait, and risks of renewed spikes if talks falter. Brent crude mirrored the pattern, underscoring broader market caution. The price retreat offers temporary relief but highlights the crisis's volatility, with high fuel costs still pressuring global economies ahead of US midterms.

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Oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz with naval ships and rising oil prices depicted.
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Oil prices rise above $90 as U.S.-Iran conflict and Red Sea shipping threats rattle markets

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Oil prices climbed on Monday after renewed fighting involving the U.S. and Iran heightened concerns about crude flows through the Strait of Hormuz. Brent crude traded above $90 a barrel, while U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate rose to the mid-$80s.

Crude oil prices have rocketed above $115 a barrel after the US and Iran exchanged fire, shattering a fragile ceasefire amid weeks of escalating tensions. Following stalled April peace talks, naval blockades, and ship seizures in the Strait of Hormuz, the clash has intensified fears of broader Middle East conflict, threatening global energy supplies and stoking market volatility.

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Building on last week's surge past $100, crude oil prices crossed $110 per barrel on April 29 for an eighth straight session. The rally intensified on reports of possible U.S. plans to extend the naval blockade on Iranian ports, heightening fears of prolonged Middle East supply disruptions via the Strait of Hormuz.

Oil prices rose following renewed strikes between the US and Iran that disrupted shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. Analysts warned that full recovery of Gulf oil supplies may take months despite signs of possible de-escalation.

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Crude oil prices dipped on June 4 following a ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon that raised hopes for easing U.S.-Iran tensions.

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