Yen surges most since August amid intervention speculation

On Friday, January 24, 2026, the yen recorded its biggest one-day gain since August amid rising speculation that Japanese authorities might intervene in the market to stem its decline. The currency rallied as much as 1.75% against the dollar to ¥155.63, reaching its strongest level of the year. The surge was triggered by reports that the Federal Reserve Bank of New York had inquired about the yen's exchange rate with financial institutions.

The yen's rally on January 24 extended gains from the Asian session into U.S. trading, driven by market speculation that Japanese authorities were gearing up for an intervention to halt the currency's ongoing slide. The dollar/yen rate had been steadily approaching levels last seen in 2024, when Japan previously bought yen to support it, but Friday's moves reversed that trend.

Traders reported that the Federal Reserve Bank of New York had contacted financial institutions to inquire about the yen's exchange rate. Wall Street interpreted this as a sign that the Fed might assist Japanese officials in a direct market intervention to bolster the yen. The previous day, on January 23, Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama told reporters at the ministry, “We’re always watching with a sense of urgency,” while declining to comment on whether authorities had intervened. Her remarks came after the yen sharply fluctuated at the end of a press briefing by Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda, whose policy board had earlier decided to keep the benchmark interest rate steady in a widely expected move.

Katayama's statement underscored the authorities' vigilance amid volatile currency movements, heightening market tension. Keywords including Sanae Takaichi suggest potential political undertones, though no concrete signs of intervention have been confirmed. This episode highlights the yen's vulnerability and evokes memories of past international coordinated efforts.

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Tokyo Stock Exchange traders in panic as Nikkei 225 plunges over 1,000 points on surging yen.
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Nikkei average plunges over 1,000 points on yen surge

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Japan's Nikkei 225 stock average tumbled more than 1,000 points early Monday amid a surge in the yen against the dollar, dipping below 53,000. The currency's strength has fueled speculation of foreign exchange intervention by Japanese and U.S. authorities, heightening market tensions.

As confirmed by Finance Ministry monthly data, Japan avoided direct market intervention to support the yen this month. By leveraging fears of coordinated action with the U.S., the yen has improved from the fringes of 160 against the dollar to the 154 range. This strategy offers short-term relief amid looming elections and economic pressures.

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Hints that the United States might join Japan in supporting the yen have captured the attention of traders and investors. While solo interventions by Japan were seen as having limited impact, this development has altered market dynamics.

On December 24, 2025, South Korean authorities issued a verbal intervention stating an excessively weak Korean won is undesirable, as the currency hit levels not seen since 2009. Building on measures from December 18—including eased bank rules and intensified FX monitoring—the won rebounded from 1,483.6 to the 1,470 range post-statement.

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China's onshore yuan closed at its strongest level since May 2023, trading at 7.0066 per dollar, amid a weakening US dollar. This development, typically bullish for bitcoin, has not lifted the cryptocurrency, which lingers below $90,000. Factors like thin year-end liquidity and ETF outflows are muting the expected rally.

Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama on December 14 expressed alignment with the Bank of Japan's anticipated interest rate hike, addressing media reports during a speech in Sendai.

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In a follow-up to December meetings, top South Korean financial officials on January 8 stated the Korean won's excessive weakness has eased since late last year, though FX market volatility remains high. They pledged continued stabilization amid a rate of 1,449.10 won per dollar.

 

 

 

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