Illustration of Lula leading Flávio Bolsonaro in Datafolha poll by 10 points, with split portraits and poll chart.
Illustration of Lula leading Flávio Bolsonaro in Datafolha poll by 10 points, with split portraits and poll chart.
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Datafolha poll shows Lula leading Flávio Bolsonaro by ten points

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A new Datafolha poll released yesterday shows Lula's lead over Flávio Bolsonaro rising to ten percentage points in the first round. The survey comes amid revelations about Flávio's involvement with former banker Daniel Vorcaro of Banco Master.

The poll shows the PT candidate's advantage rising from nine to ten points. Flávio has stopped falling in voting intentions since messages were released in which he asked Vorcaro for money to finance a film about Jair Bolsonaro.

The Banco Master scandal has also reached Jaques Wagner, the government's leader in the Senate. A Federal Police operation last Thursday investigated his connections to the bank during his time as governor of Bahia from 2007 to 2014.

Other right-wing pre-candidates such as Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema register between 2% and 3% of voting intentions. Both have signaled support for Flávio in a possible runoff.

Both PT and PL defended the creation of a CPMI to investigate the case, although leaders of both parties show reluctance to install it less than four months before the election.

Vad folk säger

Initial reactions on X highlight Lula's 10-point lead in the Datafolha poll, with users celebrating the advantage and referencing Flávio's Banco Master/Vorcaro scandals, while others analyze limited impact on his support or mock the results skeptically.

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Illustration of Lula leading Bolsonaro in Datafolha poll with 40% to 31%.
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Datafolha shows Lula at 40% and Flávio Bolsonaro at 31% in first round

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Datafolha survey released on Friday (22) points to an advantage for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva over Flávio Bolsonaro in the presidential race.

A new Datafolha poll released on June 20 shows Lula's government negative rating steady at 38%, with 32% positive and 29% regular.

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The Superior Electoral Court suspended an Atlas/Bloomberg poll on Monday showing Flávio Bolsonaro six points behind Lula in a possible runoff. The ruling responds to a request filed by the senator on May 19.

A Datafolha survey released on May 17, 2026, shows the Lula government performing worst in public security, health and the economy, areas seen as priorities by the public.

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Senator Flávio Bolsonaro said on Thursday that he hid contacts with banker Daniel Vorcaro due to confidentiality clauses in the Dark Horse film financing contract. The Intercept revealed audios in which Flávio requests funds from the former Banco Master owner for the production.

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