Kenyan shilling appreciates 4.1% against US dollar in 2025, KNBS report

The KNBS Economic Survey 2025 shows the Kenyan shilling appreciated 4.1% against the US dollar in 2025, easing from Ksh134.82 in 2024 to Ksh129.30. The report, released on April 29, notes sustained recovery amid improving foreign exchange conditions.

The KNBS report states the Kenyan shilling sustained its recovery momentum in 2025, with the Trade Weighted Index improving from 130.0 in 2024 to 127.6, indicating strengthening in real effective terms.

The currency appreciated 1.1% against the pound sterling to Ksh170.40 from Ksh172.27, 3.1% against the Japanese yen, and 8.0% against the Indian rupee. In the East African Community, results were mixed: it weakened 12.6% against the Rwandan franc and slightly against the Ugandan shilling, but gained against the Tanzanian shilling.

Kenya's economy grew 4.6% in 2025, down slightly from 4.7% in 2024 and short of President William Ruto's 5.6% target.

Central Bank of Kenya Governor Dr Kamau Thugge has expressed skepticism about the shilling's performance against the dollar this year amid global factors including the Middle East conflict. In a Bloomberg interview on April 9, he said, "We were waiting for this kind of shock. That is why we built up our reserves to the level where they are now," adding that exchange rate volatility remains manageable.

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Illustration of Rupiah strengthening to Rp16,868 per USD at Jakarta exchange, featuring US Supreme Court ruling and Indonesia-US trade deal.
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Rupiah strengthens to Rp16,868 per US dollar after US supreme court ruling

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The rupiah exchange rate strengthened at the opening of trading on Monday (February 23, 2026) to Rp16,868 per US dollar, influenced by the US Supreme Court's decision to annul parts of Donald Trump's tariff policies. Additionally, a new trade agreement between Indonesia and the US supported this strengthening. Analysts predict fluctuations will continue in the currency market.

Kenya's Central Bank Governor Kamau Thugge has attributed the Kenyan shilling's 18-month stability against the US dollar to strong foreign exchange reserves and other factors. The currency has traded between 128 and 130 shillings per dollar during this period. This marks a significant turnaround from its 21% crash in 2023.

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Central Bank of Kenya (CBK) Governor Dr Kamau Thugge has assured that the shilling will hold steady against the US dollar despite global pressures, citing a USD619 million balance of payments surplus and strong reserves. He expressed optimism amid Middle East conflict and US trade policy uncertainties. Talks with the IMF continue for a new program after the previous one expired.

The Kenya National Bureau of Statistics (KNBS) released a report on Friday, February 27, showing increases in prices of essential commodities, particularly vegetables, while inflation slightly declined. Kenyan households may need to tighten their budgets amid rising costs for food, health, and education services.

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The Korean won fell below 1,500 per U.S. dollar early Wednesday for the first time in 17 years since the 2009 global financial crisis, driven by surging demand for the dollar amid escalating Middle East tensions. The exchange rate briefly reached 1,506 before retreating below 1,500, while the benchmark KOSPI plunged over 12 percent. Analysts predict the dollar's strength will persist until geopolitical risks ease.

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