Timberwolves meet struggling Grizzlies in Memphis rematch

The Minnesota Timberwolves aim to extend their four-game winning streak against the Memphis Grizzlies on Monday night. Following a decisive 131-114 victory over Memphis on Saturday, Minnesota enters as a 6.5-point favorite. The Grizzlies, mired in a six-game losing skid, their longest in seven years, face injury concerns for both teams.

The Minnesota Timberwolves (31-19) travel to FedExForum in Memphis, Tennessee, for a 7:30 p.m. ET tipoff against the Memphis Grizzlies (18-29) on February 2, 2026. This rematch comes just days after the Timberwolves' dominant win in Memphis, where they outscored the hosts by 17 points. The Grizzlies had previously defeated Minnesota in their December matchup, but recent form tells a different story.

Memphis is reeling from six straight losses, marking their worst skid since seven years ago. The Timberwolves, conversely, have won four consecutive games, showcasing strong momentum heading into Week 16 of the 2025-26 NBA season. Injury updates add intrigue: Anthony Edwards is questionable with back soreness, Julius Randle is questionable due to a thumb issue for Minnesota, while Jaren Jackson Jr. is probable with a quad strain for the Grizzlies.

Betting lines reflect Minnesota's edge, with the Timberwolves listed as 6.5-point favorites and -231 on the money line. The over/under is set at 229.5 points, with Memphis at +189. The SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates games 10,000 times and has a 38-16 record on top-rated spread picks, projects the over to hit in 63.1% of simulations, expecting around 240 total points. Recent trends support this: the teams combined for 245 points in Saturday's game, clearing the same total, and the over has cashed in seven of the last 10 meetings between these squads.

The model also identifies one side of the spread hitting over 60% of the time, though specifics require checking SportsLine. Minnesota's road overs stand at 64%, the NBA's highest, while Memphis has gone over in four of five home games. This matchup highlights contrasting trajectories, with the Timberwolves pushing for playoff positioning and the Grizzlies desperate to halt their slide.

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