Analyst argues Tesla reached Level 4 autonomy

A Wall Street analyst claims Tesla has effectively achieved Level 4 autonomy in most conditions across its vehicles. Alex Potter of Piper Sandler made the assessment in a note to investors this week.

Potter cited Tesla's decision to offer insurance discounts for vehicles equipped with Full Self-Driving as evidence of strong confidence in the system's safety. He pointed to data showing lower accident rates compared to human drivers. The analyst also referenced the recent start of Cybercab production at Giga Texas. That vehicle lacks steering wheels and pedals, which Potter sees as a sign that unsupervised driving is near. Potter highlighted Tesla's investment of several hundred million dollars, potentially over $1 billion, in the project. He drew on his own experience using the system for a long drive from Missoula, Montana, to Minneapolis, Minnesota, in April. Tesla officially lists Full Self-Driving as a Level 2 system, though its Robotaxi platform received Level 4 recognition in Texas.

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Tesla Cybercabs autonomously driving off the production line in a factory, as shown in recent video.
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Tesla video reveals Cybercabs autonomously exiting production line

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Following the first Cybercab production unit in February, Tesla released a video on April 23 showing multiple steerless robotaxis rolling off the line and driving autonomously to the outbound lot. This footage underscores rapid progress toward volume production amid broader autonomous driving advancements.

A Forbes contributor reported that Tesla's latest Full Self-Driving software feels more like a Level 4 driverless system than previous versions.

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Elon Musk announced that Tesla's V14.3 self-driving software is undergoing reviews, with point releases set to add polish. He stated that V15 will surpass human safety levels, even in unsupervised scenarios. Musk also shared footage of a Tesla driving autonomously around Los Angeles.

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