Argentina's country risk rises to 524 points on February 19

Argentina's Country Risk closed on Thursday, February 19, 2026, at 524 basis points, up from the previous close of 515 points. This rise occurred amid a decline in dollar-denominated sovereign bonds, both locally and on Wall Street. The JP Morgan-measured indicator highlights market volatility and focus on the country's public accounts.

Argentina's Country Risk recorded an increase on Thursday, February 19, 2026, closing at 524 basis points according to Rava Bursátil data. The index started the day at 518 points and reached a high of 524 toward the end of the session, marking a rise of 9 units from the Wednesday, February 18 close of 515 points.

This movement aligned with a pullback in the pricing of global and Argentine sovereign bonds, amid external volatility and scrutiny over the state's payment capacity. The devaluation of these assets raised the interest rate spread, directly affecting the indicator.

Over the past week, the Country Risk showed marked volatility. On Thursday, February 12, it stood at 514 points, after dipping to a low of 497 points that day. From Friday, February 13, to Tuesday, February 17, it fluctuated between 511 and 519 points, with a high of 526 on Tuesday before closing at 511. Wednesday, February 18, closed at 515, and Thursday, February 19, confirmed the rise to 524 points.

The Country Risk, or EMBI compiled by JP Morgan, measures the spread between yields on dollar bonds from emerging markets and U.S. Treasury bonds. Each 100 basis points equates to an additional 1% interest that the country must pay on its debt. A high value signals greater investor distrust in economic and political stability, making financing more expensive for the state and private companies.

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Illustration depicting Argentina's country risk dropping below 500 points for the first time in eight years, with rising reserves and investor optimism.
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Argentina's country risk breaks below 500 points after eight years

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Argentina's country risk indicator dropped to 494 basis points on January 27, 2026, its lowest level since May 2018, driven by rising sovereign bonds and the central bank's reserve accumulation. This decline signals growing investor optimism about the country's fiscal solvency. International reserves approach 46 billion dollars after daily net purchases.

Argentina's country risk rose 0.78% on Wednesday, February 18, 2026, closing at 515 basis points. The increase aligned with a general decline in local sovereign bonds, as the market absorbed domestic and international financial contexts.

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Argentina's country risk, measured by JP Morgan, closed at 506 basis points on February 11, 2026, following January's 2.9% inflation data. The indicator shows relative stability amid stock market declines and analysis of persistent inflation. The market exhibited volatility, with the S&P Merval dropping 1.4%.

Argentina's blue dollar closed on Monday, January 26, 2026, up $5, trading at $1,470 for buying and $1,490 for selling. Other exchange variants also moved, while the official dollar stayed at $1,410-$1,460 per Banco Nación. The country risk reached 513 basis points, the lowest in the Milei era.

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Six Wall Street financial entities identified Argentina as one of the most exposed emerging economies to an external shock, such as rising oil prices due to the Middle East conflict. Economy Minister Luis Caputo urged entrepreneurs to deposit dollars into the financial system at a forum in Mendoza. These vulnerabilities include low reserves and dependence on external financing.

Argentina's central bank cut short-term reference rates to 20% this month, below inflation levels, to capitalize on dollar inflows and rebuild hard currency reserves. President Javier Milei's government aims to boost economic growth amid slowdown signals. Analysts note concerns over peso stability impacts.

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The dollar exchange rate has fallen by $55 since the start of the year, despite the Central Bank's purchases adding over US$1,600 million to its reserves. Financial quotations are also losing ground in this context.

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