Chilean pension funds lose US$25 billion in March amid Middle East war

Chile's AFP multifunds lost US$25 billion in March, dropping from US$260.569 million at end-February to US$235.801 million, a 9.5% decline tied to the Middle East war and peso depreciation.

The Middle East conflict, starting February 28, 2026, with US and Israel attacks on Iran, created global market volatility impacting Chile's pension funds. The AFP Association states the dollar-denominated drop was 80% due to the exchange rate rising from $861.19 to $931.57, and 20% from negative returns. In UF, the decline was 2.2%, from 5,639.61 million to 5,513.46 million.

The Superintendencia de Pensiones reported all funds closed negative in March owing to uncertainty over oil industry effects, higher energy costs, and inflation. Funds A and C saw the largest real losses at 3.02% and 2.52%, followed by B (2.45%), D (2.07%), and E (0.86%).

Economists Soledad Hormazábal and Cecilia Cifuentes agree the exchange rate effect dominated. Roberto Fuentes of the AFP Association noted funds were 66% of GDP end-February, falling to 64.6% in March, still below the pre-withdrawal peak of 83.2% in January 2020.

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Illustration of rising Argentine financial markets with stock charts and peso currency on June 1.
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Argentine assets rise and blue dollar closes higher on June 1

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Argentine stocks and bonds traded higher on Monday, June 1, while the blue dollar closed at 1,435 pesos for sale. Country risk remained below 500 basis points.

Chile’s main stock index closed lower on July 1 as the dollar resumed its rise, after the IMACEC for May fell 0.9%.

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The dollar in Chile fell 7.25 pesos to close at 927.75 pesos on Thursday, July 9, while the IPSA rose 0.72% to 11,025.36 points. The copper rally supported local currencies and stock markets despite geopolitical tensions.

President Gustavo Petro sharply criticized the State Council's suspension of a $25 trillion AFP-to-Colpensiones transfer under Decree 415, now limited to about $5 trillion, accusing business leaders of theft if they withhold the funds. Asofondos pushes for full decree suspension amid ongoing legal battle.

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The Consejo Gremial stated that the transfer of $5 trillion from AFPs to Colpensiones within six days is unnecessary to cover pensions for those who switched via the opportunity window.

Sebastián Waisgold explained that with a stable dollar and falling rates Argentine savers are seeking alternatives to protect purchasing power against inflation.

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The official dollar traded at 1,510 pesos for sale at Banco Nación on Monday, July 6, its highest since November 2025. Argentine assets extended gains on Wall Street and country risk fell to 408 basis points.

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