Chilean pension funds lose US$25 billion in March amid Middle East war

Chile's AFP multifunds lost US$25 billion in March, dropping from US$260.569 million at end-February to US$235.801 million, a 9.5% decline tied to the Middle East war and peso depreciation.

The Middle East conflict, starting February 28, 2026, with US and Israel attacks on Iran, created global market volatility impacting Chile's pension funds. The AFP Association states the dollar-denominated drop was 80% due to the exchange rate rising from $861.19 to $931.57, and 20% from negative returns. In UF, the decline was 2.2%, from 5,639.61 million to 5,513.46 million.

The Superintendencia de Pensiones reported all funds closed negative in March owing to uncertainty over oil industry effects, higher energy costs, and inflation. Funds A and C saw the largest real losses at 3.02% and 2.52%, followed by B (2.45%), D (2.07%), and E (0.86%).

Economists Soledad Hormazábal and Cecilia Cifuentes agree the exchange rate effect dominated. Roberto Fuentes of the AFP Association noted funds were 66% of GDP end-February, falling to 64.6% in March, still below the pre-withdrawal peak of 83.2% in January 2020.

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Following initial market shocks from West Asia conflict, Indian equities saw major foreign investor outflows and remain volatile amid rising oil prices. FPIs withdrew $751.4 million on March 2—the largest daily pullout in four months—with markets resuming post-Holi holiday on March 4 under continued pressure.

Global markets closed higher after Donald Trump’s announcement of talks with Iran to de-escalate the Middle East conflict, driving oil prices down. In Chile, however, the Ipsa index fell 0.49% to 10,227.64 points amid local concerns over domestic consumption and the Mepco fuel mechanism.

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Argentine stocks fell and dollar bonds rose on Thursday, April 9, amid doubts about the sustainability of the US-Iran truce. ADRs posted losses of up to 5.5%, as oil prices neared US$100 per barrel again. Wall Street also closed lower.

Wall Street ended Tuesday, February 17, 2026, with modest gains driven by the financial sector, while Mexico's Bolsa Mexicana de Valores fell 0.28%. The Mexican peso appreciated 0.17% against the dollar, trading at 17.13 units. European indices also closed positive, and oil prices declined.

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Continuing its strong revaluation trend earlier in January—where it led emerging currencies with gains over 4% through January 22—the Colombian peso depreciated 1.36% on January 28, 2026, diverging from appreciating regional peers like the Brazilian real and Mexican peso. Despite the daily drop, it holds a 3.5% monthly gain amid global volatility and commodity rebounds.

Wall Street markets closed higher on Thursday April 16, boosted by optimism over an Israel-Lebanon agreement ending the Middle East war, while Mexico's Bolsa Mexicana de Valores (BMV) fell 0.78%. The BMV's main IPC index settled at 69,095.02 points. The Mexican peso appreciated 0.05% against the dollar.

Imeripotiwa na AI

Over six years after the 2019 reform, Brazil's pension deficit keeps rising, according to a Folha de S.Paulo analysis. The combined shortfall of INSS, civil servants, and military jumped from R$ 271.7 billion in 2015 to R$ 442 billion in 2025. The piece argues that further adjustments are essential for fiscal sustainability and intergenerational justice.

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