Illustration depicting disillusioned French voters outside the National Assembly, highlighting record-low 22% trust in politics ahead of 2026 elections.
Illustration depicting disillusioned French voters outside the National Assembly, highlighting record-low 22% trust in politics ahead of 2026 elections.
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Distrust in French politics reaches critical level

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Only 22% of French people trust politics, according to the 17th wave of the Cevipof barometer, a figure far below that of European neighbors. This disarray stems from 18 months without a majority in the National Assembly, fostering a sense of democratic inefficiency. Ahead of the March 2026 municipal elections, French voters remain committed to voting despite their doubts.

The 17th wave of the political confidence barometer, conducted by OpinionWay for Sciences Po's Center for Political Research (Cevipof) from January 12 to 28, 2026, among 3,166 voters, reveals a collapse in trust in French institutions. Only 22% of respondents express confidence in politics, compared to 45% in Germany, 44% in the UK, and 40% in Italy. Similarly, 23% believe democracy works well in France, while 76% consider voting useful but judge the democratic system to malfunction in the same proportion.

This decline has intensified following the June 2024 snap legislative elections, which left the National Assembly without a clear majority for a year and a half. Confidence in this institution falls to 20%, the lowest level since the barometer's creation in 2009, down four points from 2025 and nine from 2024. Even among executives and higher professions, it does not exceed 29%.

The French appear more distrustful and pessimistic than their European counterparts, tempted by withdrawal amid political stalemate. The barometer warns of a 'state of political anomie' that could complicate the 2027 presidential election.

In parallel, a separate study published on February 9, 2026, by Le Sens du service public, the Jean Jaurès Foundation, and Casden Banque Populaire, based on an OpinionWay poll of 2,000 people, shows strong attachment to local public services. More than 70% of French people report satisfaction with their quality in their commune, although 73% believe they lack resources. 'The expressed confidence encourages optimism,' analyzes Johan Theuret, co-founder of the Le Sens du service public collective.

These findings come two weeks before the municipal elections on March 15 and 22, where mayors remain figures of trust, as noted in a July 2025 Cevipof survey.

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X discussions on the Cevipof barometer reveal widespread frustration with the 22% trust in French politics, sharp drops for institutions and Macron's -5.7/10 satisfaction rating. Analysts highlight ongoing decline while noting higher trust in local services like mayors. Sentiments include predictions of high municipal election turnout for change, mockery of leaders, and some defenses blaming opposition machinations.

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Illustration depicting public protests against Brazil's STF amid record distrust poll results from Datafolha.
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Datafolha records peak distrust in STF and Judiciary

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A Datafolha poll released on March 11, 2026, shows distrust in the Supreme Federal Court (STF) reaching 43%, the highest since 2012, while in the Judiciary it hit 36%, also a record. The survey, conducted from March 3 to 5 with 2,004 people in 137 municipalities, indicates worsening trust in seven out of eight institutions analyzed since December 2024. The public overwhelmingly rejects questionable ethical conduct by STF justices.

In a tribune published in Le Monde, experts highlight that 40% of French people want to engage in civic and political life, forming an underutilized reservoir. This comes at the start of 2026, a period leading from municipal elections to the presidential vote, amid a climate of fatalism and discouragement.

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The growing polarization in the French National Assembly contrasts with the relative calm observed in society, according to political scientists. A recent study reveals a 'parliamentary fever' marked by emotional rhetoric since 2017. Researchers question the mechanisms of universal suffrage that distort the image of the people.

One month before the Paris municipal elections on March 15 and 22, 2026, the six main candidates struggle to focus on local issues, overshadowed by national debates and controversies. Budget disputes, school scandals, and judicial affairs dominate the campaign, hindering constructive dynamics.

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For the 2026 municipal elections, 75 French communes have registered no candidacies, preventing any vote on March 15 and 22. These municipalities will come under special delegation pending new elections. This issue mainly affects small communes, with numbers stable compared to previous polls.

Political scientist Simon Persico believes ecologists have little to gain in the March 15 and 22 municipal elections. The 2020 local polls saw an exceptional green breakthrough. Six years on, the political landscape has shifted.

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As Paris municipal elections approach on March 15 and 22, 2026, leading candidates focus on security, cleanliness, housing, and the environment, the top concerns for residents. A left-right divide emerges especially on arming the municipal police. Right-wing candidates aim to boost staff numbers and enhance surveillance tools.

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