ECB keeps deposit rate at 2.0 percent despite rising inflation

The European Central Bank (ECB) has kept its Eurozone deposit rate at 2.0 percent. Despite sharply rising prices and heightened inflation expectations, the ECB refrained from a rate hike. Investors now anticipate moves from June onward.

In Frankfurt, the European Central Bank (ECB) left its Eurozone deposit rate steady at 2.0 percent following its Thursday meeting. The central bank is aligning with other major institutions in the US, UK, and Japan, which also held their key rates unchanged this week.

ECB President Christine Lagarde stated that policymakers had thoroughly discussed a potential rate hike. "The information is not yet sufficiently conclusive at this point," she said. This could change at the next rate decision in six weeks.

Investors had priced in an extension of the rate pause and now expect hikes from June. Experts view a rate increase as imminent. "A June rate hike is getting closer," said ING chief economist Carsten Brzeski. Christian Reicherter of DZ Bank noted that such a step "is shaping up," while Commerzbank chief economist Jörg Krämer described it as "in the pipeline."

In its decision statement, the ECB emphasized: "Upside risks to inflation and downside risks to growth have increased." It added that it remains "well equipped to address the current uncertainty."

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Banco de la República board unanimously holds interest rate at 11.25% in meeting with Finance Minister amid inflation and political tensions.
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Banco de la República unanimously holds interest rate at 11.25%, defying hike expectations amid government tensions

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In its May 1, 2026 board meeting, Banco de la República unanimously kept the benchmark interest rate at 11.25%, surprising analysts expecting a hike to combat accelerating inflation. Finance Minister Germán Ávila participated fully, citing constructive dialogue, while board members justified the decision to maintain stability amid political pressures.

Egypt's Central Bank Monetary Policy Committee is expected to hold interest rates unchanged at its Thursday meeting, following cuts in December 2025 and February 2026. The decision comes amid rising core inflation and geopolitical risks. Experts describe the hold as the most prudent option to maintain stability.

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The Bank of Mexico paused its rate-cutting cycle and kept the reference rate at 7.0 percent in its first monetary policy meeting of the year. It also revised its inflation expectations, delaying convergence to the 3.0 percent target until the second quarter of 2027. Analysts note a cautious stance amid fiscal impacts and upside risks.

Inflation expectations are increasing in US breakeven rates and eurozone swap rates, influenced by recent statements from President Trump. Oil prices have stabilized alongside reduced anxiety in risk assets, yet concerns persist over widening spreads. Analysts highlight these trends as problematic amid ongoing economic conflicts.

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Following the RBI's February decision to maintain rates at 5.25%, Governor Sanjay Malhotra reiterated that policy rates are likely to remain at current levels or decrease for an extended period. He cited benign inflation and low underlying inflation expectations but cautioned on risks and global uncertainties influencing growth-inflation dynamics.

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